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Unless there’s a change in the economy, Federal Reserve Bank of Minnesota President Neel Kashkari expects the fed funds rate target will remain on hold “for a while.”
November 4 -
Reads of the economy show continued weakening, which will allow the Federal Open Market Committee to cut the fed funds rate target 25 basis points to a range of 1.5% to 1.75%.
October 28 -
September durable goods orders fell more than expected, while orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft also dropped, suggesting production won't rebound this year.
October 24 -
While the economic indicators released on Thursday suggested a weakening economy, a deeper dive by analysts offers a different view.
October 17 -
Slower-than-expected services sector growth and weakness in orders and employment "almost assure that the Fed cuts rates later this month."
October 3 -
Recession concerns remain muted, even though manufacturing hit a 40-month low and businesses have turned "more cautious" in their hiring.
October 2 -
The start of an impeachment inquiry brings uncertainty, as business investment continues to be soft.
September 26 -
The Federal Reserve took center stage again Friday, with two presidents explaining why they dissented at the latest meeting and Vice Chair Richard Clarida terming it “healthy” debate.
September 20 -
While some Federal Reserve Bank presidents offered hawkish remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium, the markets still expect a 25 basis point cut, and analysts agree.
August 26 -
The municipal bond market received a variety of data Thursday suggesting economic strength belying the recession forecast by the 2/10-year Treasury yield curve inversion on Wednesday.
August 15 -
Durable goods orders rose as non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft posted their largest gain since February 2018.
July 25 -
While Federal Reserve officials made it clear they intend to cut interest rates at their July 30-31 meeting, not all of the regional presidents are on board with this move.
July 22 -
With the neutral rate of interest rate extremely low, New York Fed President John Williams suggested the keys are acting quickly and keeping rates lower longer.
July 18 -
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey’s general business conditions index turned positive in July.
July 15 -
The dot plot showed the Federal Open Market Committee evenly split between cutting and holding rates, but it's not clear whose dots are whose.
July 2 -
The U.S. and China are again attempting to work out trade differences, and manufacturing numbers show somewhat weaker expansion. Will this be enough to spur the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates later this month?
July 1 -
Despite “solid” growth in gross domestic product in the past year, it will be difficult for GDP to rise more than 1.5% to 1.75% on a longer run basis.
June 24 -
The markets are pricing in a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in July, as Thursday’s indicators showed continued manufacturing weakness.
June 20 -
Business activity in New York contracted in June, as tariffs and a slight softening in the labor market took a toll on conditions.
June 17 -
The markets have priced in a Federal Reserve rate cut this year, with the likelihood of a September reduction rising to 62% on Wednesday from a 50-50 shot on Tuesday and about a 91% of a 25 basis point cut by yearend.
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