Gary Siegel

Since future rate decisions will be based on data, the next move by the Federal Reserve will be up if inflation gains momentum, and down if activity softens too much or inflation cools further.

Business activity “grew modestly in New York State,” while the outlook fell to its lowest level in three years.

Small business owners are optimistic about economic growth and don’t expect a recession anytime soon.

Consumers’ inflation expectations ticked up for the three-year horizon, according to the March Survey of Consumer Expectations.

The Conference Board's Employment Trends Index (ETI) slipped to 110.98 in March.

Newly issued Treasury securities held in stripped form increased about $1.155 billion in March to a total of $301.140 billion.

The economy looks fundamentally sound, leading Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker to question the importance of a yield curve inversion.

While it is possible that the Federal Reserve’s hiking cycle is complete, but the more likely scenario is rates will go “a bit higher,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said Thursday.

With the Federal Reserve finished raising interest rates, some yield curve inversions would signal a coming recession, according to Brian Rehling of Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

The Federal Reserve should return to its pre-crisis corridor operating system, with a smaller balance sheet, former Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Charles Plosser said.

The U.S. services sector expanded at a slower pace in March.

Because Federal Reserve officials attempt to do too much with speeches and forward guidance, communications are confusing, according to economist Mickey Levy.

New York economic conditions rebounded in March, with purchasing managers reversing course on almost all indexes from the prior month.

The overall economy grew for the 119th straight time.

The yield curve inverting doesn’t scare Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Randal Quarles, he said, and he doesn’t see it predicting a recession.

Respondents to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City's monthly manufacturing survey reported moderate acceleration of growth in March.

Pending home sales declined 1.0% to an index reading of 101.9 in February, after a revised 4.3% gain to 102.9 in January, according to a report released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors.

Disruptions between monetary policy and the economy help explain the “inflation puzzle we’re facing,” according to Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly.

Texas service sector activity “growth softened in March."

Manufacturing and services growth in the central Atlantic region in March was weaker than in February.