Primary bond market

"January issuance is at a multi-year low, with large declines in both taxable and tax-exempt issuance," said Matt Fabian, a partner at Municipal Market Analytics. 

Investors will likely sit on the sidelines until after this week's Federal Reserve Board rate announcement.

Investors will be greeted Monday with a new-issue calendar estimated at $847 million.

On the buy side, lower interest rates and an extreme imbalance between supply and demand is supporting the municipal market's positive tone, according to JB Golden, executive director and portfolio manager at Advisors Asset Management.

The top bond counsel firms combined for a total of $359.123 billion in 7,878 transactions during 2022, down from the $456.136 billion in 11,819 deals in 2021.

Inflows continued with the Investment Company Institute reporting investors added $2.083 billion to mutual funds in the week ending Jan. 18, after $1.982 billion of inflows the previous week.

The 2023 "January effect" seems to be "displaying typical behavior given relatively thin issuance this month and demand patterns that have been buoyed by four of six reinvestment needs," said Jeff Lipton, managing director of credit research at Oppenheimer Inc.

The city received $217 million of retail orders — a rarity in Illinois where local bonds don't benefit from state tax exemption — and interest from 11 ESG funds.

For the first time in several weeks, munis last week outperformed "by a wide margin and across the entirety of the yield curve," said Eric Kazatsky, head of municipal strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence.

Investors will be greeted Monday with a new-issue calendar estimated at $5.520 billion.