NEW YORK – The Conference Board’s Employment Trends Index (ETI) grew to 103.70 in November from an upwardly revised 102.42 in October, originally reported as 101.92, and is up 6.4% from a year ago, the group announced Monday.
"The Employment Trends Index posted a large increase for the second straight month, with all of its components showing gains over these two months," said Gad Levanon, Associate Director, Macroeconomic Research at The Conference Board. "The better than expected growth in economic activity in recent months is likely to lead to some acceleration in job growth in the beginning of 2012. However, this improvement may be short lived, in particular as the U.S. economy slows down once again in the coming quarters."
The increase in the ETI, was driven by positive contributions from seven out of the eight components. The improving indicators include The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey “Jobs Hard to Get Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance, Percentage of Firms With Positions Not Able to Fill Right Now, Number of Employees Hired by the Temporary-Help Industry, Part-Time Workers for Economic Reasons, Job Openings, and Real Manufacturing and Trade Sales.
The ETI aggregates eight labor-market indicators, each of which has proven accurate in its own area. Aggregating individual indicators into a composite index filters out so-called "noise" to show underlying trends more clearly.
The eight labor-market indicators aggregated into the ETI include: Percentage of respondents who say they find “Jobs Hard to Get” (The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey); Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance (U.S. Department of Labor); Percentage of Firms With Positions Not Able to Fill Right Now (National Federation of Independent Business Research Foundation); Number of Employees Hired by the Temporary-Help Industry (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics); Part-time Workers for Economic Reasons (BLS); Job Openings (BLS); Industrial Production (Federal Reserve Board); and Real Manufacturing and Trade Sales (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis).
