Finance

After a tumultuous week, expect another ahead, said Matt Fabian, a partner at Municipal Market Analytics.

Redwood City-based Summit Public Schools had its bond rating downgraded to Ba3 from Baa3 by Moody's and its outlook revised to negative.

The $250 million in debt being issued for Montana Renewables is equal to nearly half the state's issuance for last year.

The banking sector crisis caused a flight-to-quality bid in USTs last week.

The reverberations from the Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank failures make the outcome of this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting unpredictable.

Investors will be greeted Monday with a new-issue calendar estimated at $4.064 billion.

Outflows continued as Refinitiv Lipper reported $461.123 million was pulled from municipal bond mutual funds in the week that ended Wednesday after $307.815 million of outflows the week prior.

"The main question for investors recently has been: will we see bank selling of municipals that exerts pressure on the market, and what kind of market effects could occur," Barclays strategists said.

Moody's Investors joined S&P Global Ratings in lifting the state into the A category with a single notch upgrade to A3 Tuesday.

"The muni market is no different than others, where fear and greed drive the trends," said Peter Delahunt, StoneX's managing director.

Triple-A benchmarks have fallen five to 10 basis points, depending on the scale.

The Treasury Department issued a "systemic risk exception" allowing it to cover uninsured deposits at SVB and Signature Bank, which New York State closed on Sunday.

Investors will be greeted Monday with a new-issue calendar estimated at $6.041 billion.

A $3.52 billion Texas Natural Gas Securitization Finance Corp. deal includes a make-whole redemption over three years to call bonds if the state appropriates funds to pay them off.

Governance decisions and rapidly escalating deficits contributed to Moody's decision to cut Illinois Tech's rating two notches to speculative grade.

Outflows continued as Refinitiv Lipper reported $307.815 million was pulled from municipal bond mutual funds in the week that ended Wednesday after $905.030 million of outflows the week prior.

Fitch said the action "reflects the recent enactment of legislation clarifying the future operational profile of the district," formerly controlled by Disney.

Shares in Silicon Valley Bank's parent company plunged 60% after executives announced they would sell a large bond portfolio at a big loss. The market "seems to be pricing in greater liquidity needs" than the bank currently anticipates, one analyst said.

Outflows lessened, with the Investment Company Institute reporting investors pulled $344 million from mutual funds in the week ending March 1, after $1.148 billion of outflows the previous week.

The two-year UST is now a full point above the 10-year UST, something that hasn't happened since 1981.