Oct. factory orders fall about as projected

WASHINGTON — The value of new factory orders fell 2.1% in October, slightly lower than the 2.0% decrease expected by analysts in an MNI survey, data released by the Commerce Department Thursday morning showed.

Durable goods orders were revised up slightly to a 4.3% fall from the 4.4% decrease reported in the advance estimate. Nondurable goods orders rose 0.3% on gains in petroleum and coal, food products, and textile products. Nondurable goods new orders are equivalent to nondurable goods shipments in this report.

factory orders

Factory orders excluding transportation were up 0.3% in the month following a 0.1% gain in September, continuing the string of gains that stretches back virtually uninterrupted for most of the past two years. Durables orders excluding transportation were revised up to a 0.2% gain from the 0.1% increase in the advance report.

In addition, unfilled orders were -0.1% in October, showing marginally lower demand for manufactured goods.

Transportation orders were down 12.0% in October, revised up slightly from the advance estimate. The unlisted transportation components were down 1.6% in the month, based on an MNI calculation.

Nondefense capital goods new orders fell by 4.1%, however they were flat when excluding aircraft.

Factory inventories rose by 0.1% in October. In addition to this, the Commerce Department's advance report on inventories showed a 0.7% gain for wholesale inventories and a 0.9% rise in retail inventories.

While these data are eligible for revision, the levels as they stand now, combined with the 0.1% increase in factory inventories, would result in a 0.6% gain in October business inventories when that report is released on December 14, an MNI calculation showed. The revised wholesale data for October will be released on December 7 and could alter this projection.

Overall factory shipments were down 0.1% in the month on a 0.5% decrease for durable goods shipments, offset by a 0.3% rise in nondurable shipments. Nondefense capital goods shipments fell by 2.5%, but were up 0.3% after excluding the civilian aircraft component.

Given the mix of inventories and shipments reported Friday, the inventory-to-shipments ratio was unchanged at 1.34 from September.

Market News International is a real-time global news service for fixed-income and foreign exchange market professionals. See www.marketnews.com.
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