Economic indicators

The producer price index saw its largest monthly drop in four years.

The markets will be soothed by September nonfarm payrolls that rose 136,000 while the unemployment rate sank to 3.5%, its lowest level since December 1969.

Slower-than-expected services sector growth and weakness in orders and employment "almost assure that the Fed cuts rates later this month."

Recession concerns remain muted, even though manufacturing hit a 40-month low and businesses have turned "more cautious" in their hiring.

The start of an impeachment inquiry brings uncertainty, as business investment continues to be soft.

This month's plunge in consumer confidence signals that the economy is losing steam.

The U.S. economy is growing slower than it has in the past couple of years, and conditions may get worse in the next few quarters, according to Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard.

The household employment survey showed good economic news, while other measures were mixed.

The Federal Reserve took center stage again Friday, with two presidents explaining why they dissented at the latest meeting and Vice Chair Richard Clarida terming it “healthy” debate.

A rate cut alone probably won't avert a recession. A rate cut combined with a ceasefire in the trade war might, according to one market strategist.

Retail sales showed consumers continue to propel the economy, though the number excluding autos was weaker than forecast.

The producer price index grew 0.1% in August, while the core rate — which excludes food and energy — rose 0.3% in the month, the Labor Department reported Wednesday.

The Federal Reserve’s pre-meeting blackout period started, and although we won’t hear from Fed officials this week, several economic indicators are slated, including inflation data on Wednesday and Thursday and reads of the consumer sector on Friday.

The employment report suggests the economy is slowing, though not to the point of recession.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York sees a nearly 38% chance of recession by August 2020, up from 31.5% in the July reading.

IHS Markit reported its PMI slipped in August as the ISM manufacturing index declined.

Consumers are still fueling economic expansion, with personal consumption gaining 0.6% in July after a 0.3% rise in June.

Three Federal Reserve Bank presidents said they would cautiously consider supporting a rate cut.

Despite trade issues, consumer confidence slipped only slightly in August, as “consumers have remained confident and willing to spend.”

While some Federal Reserve Bank presidents offered hawkish remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium, the markets still expect a 25 basis point cut, and analysts agree.