Munis Weaken Ahead of Supply, FOMC Meeting

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Top-rated municipal bonds were weaker at mid-session, according to traders, who are facing a smaller than usual $4 billion primary calendar as the Federal Reserve gets set to meet in Washington.

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Secondary Market

The yield on the 10-year benchmark muni general obligation on Monday rose three to five basis points from 2.31% on Friday, while the yield on the 30-year increased three to five basis points from 3.12%, according to a read of Municipal Market Data's triple-A scale.

U.S. Treasuries were narrowly mixed on Monday. The yield on the two-year Treasury inched up to 1.14% from 1.13% on Friday, the 10-year Treasury was unchanged from 2.48%, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was flat from 3.17%.

On Friday, the 10-year muni to Treasury ratio was calculated at 93.8% compared to 95.9% on Thursday while the 30-year muni to Treasury ratio stood at 98.8% versus 100.4%, according to MMD.

MSRB: Previous Session's Activity

The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board reported 47,563 trades on Friday on volume of $13.13 billion.

Prior Week's Actively Traded Issues

Revenue bonds comprised 60.33% of new issuance in the week ended Dec. 9, down from 60.48% in the previous week, according to Markit. General obligation bonds comprised 35.07% of total issuance, down from 35.10%, while taxable bonds made up 4.60%, up from 4.42%.

Some of the most actively traded issues by type were from New York, New Jersey and California. In the GO bond sector, the New York City 4s of 2043 were traded 156 times. In the revenue bond sector, the New Jersey Economic Development Authority 5s of 2041 were traded 49 times. And in the taxable bond sector, the California 7.55s of 2039 were traded 12 times.

Previous Week's Top Underwriters

The top negotiated and competitive underwriters of last week included JPMorgan Securities, Jefferies, Citigroup, Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley, according to Thomson Reuters data.

In the week of Dec. 4-Dec. 10, JPMorgan underwrote $2.14 billion, Jefferies $866.9 million, Citi $809.3 million, BAML $795.5 million and Morgan Stanley $693.4 million.

Primary Market

The week's new issue volume is estimated at $4.01 billion, consisting of $3.24 billion of negotiated deals and $771.2 million of competitive sales.

Most of the week's deals will be jammed into Tuesday, ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's announcement on interest rates on Wednesday.

On Tuesday, Citigroup is expected to price the New York State Housing Finance Agency's $223 million of affordable housing revenue bonds.

The issue is comprised of Series 2016H climate bond certified green bonds and Series 2016I revenue bonds. The deal is rated Aa2 by Moody's Investors Service.

Jefferies is expected to price the Westchester Tobacco Asset Securitization Corp., N.Y.'s $178.83 million of taxable Series 2016A tobacco settlement senior bonds and taxable Series 2016C tobacco settlement subordinate bonds as early as Tuesday.

Morgan Stanley is set to price the University of Pittsburgh's $200 million of revenue bonds on Tuesday.

In the competitive arena on Tuesday, the Minneapolis Special School District No. 1, Minn., will be selling about $125 million of bonds backed by the state's school district credit enhancement program in three separate offerings.

The deals consist of $56.09 million of Series 2016B general obligation long-term maintenance bonds, $46.43 million of Series 2016A GO school building bonds, and $23.77 million of Series 2016C full term certificates of participation.

All three deals are rated Aa1 by Moody's and AA-plus by S&P Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings.

Also this week, Barclays Capital is expected to price the Chicago Board of Education's $500 million of dedicated capital improvement tax bonds. While there is no exact date for the sale, the timing of the deal is dependent on market conditions, according to CPS spokeswoman Emily Bittner.

The bonds will be sold under a new dedicated capital improvement tax crafted to provide a borrowing outlet said to be insulated from the district's operating struggles and Chapter 9 bankruptcy threats.

This isolation of the revenues earned the bonds an A rating from Fitch and a BBB from Kroll Bond Rating Agency.

MassDOT Sale in a 'Hold Situation'

Due to the recent volatile rate environment, the Massachusetts Department of Transportation's sale of $445 million of Series 2016A metropolitan highway system senior revenue refunding bonds and $197 million of Series 2016A metropolitan highway system revenue refunding bonds, subordinated commonwealth contract assistance secured, were placed on day-to-day status last week.

"Rates shot up 82 basis points in 16 days and there was a violent reaction in the marketplace. And that really gave away all of our potential savings," MassDOT chief financial officer David Pottier said at the sixth annual Massachusetts investor conference in Boston last week. "We're in a hold situation."

MassDOT was also awaiting a possible rate hike by the Federal Reserve this week.

"We still see some opportunity on a larger scale. We may look at it on a series by series basis and see if there is any meaningful savings," said Pottier.

MassDOT deputy CFO Michelle Ho added: "We were disappointed not to have the refunding, because we have significant capital needs."

Bond Buyer Visible Supply

The Bond Buyer's 30-day visible supply calendar decreased $102.5 million to $9.06 billion on Monday. The total is comprised of $1.89 billion of competitive sales and $7.17 billion of negotiated deals.

Paul Burton contributed to this report


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