Market Close: Munis Again Record-Breakingly Firmer

NEW YORK - It was a clean sweep in the municipal market Thursday as tax-exempt yields fell to record low levels in 10, 20, and 30 years, including for the eighth consecutive session in 10 years.

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"There's just a lot of cash in munis now," a trader in New York said. "And there's really not anything pushing us back. We just keep firming up day after day, and yields just keep going lower and lower."

Also Thursday, New Jersey came to market with $2.25 billion of tax and revenue anticipation notes, just one day after settling with the Securities and Exchange Commission on charges of violating securities fraud laws by failing to disclose to bond investors that it was underfinding its two largest pension plans.

The state neither admitted nor denied the SEC's findings and said it will cease and desist from committing any further violations. They were not fined.

The deal was priced competitively and sold to various bidders, with JPMorgan taking both the largest amount of the deal and the greatest number of pieces.

JPMorgan won a total of $2.05 billion of the transaction, in four components.

The largest piece, worth $750 million, was won with an effective rate of 0.33%, eight basis point higher than Thursday's one-year Municipal Market Data triple-A scale.

JPMorgan also won chunks worth $550 million, $500 million, and $250 million, with effective rates of 0.34%, 0.32%, and 0.31%, which are nine, seven, and eight basis points higher than Thursday's MMD one-year yield, respectively.

Two other $100 million chunks of the deal were sold to Citi and Goldman, Sachs & Co., with effective rates of 0.33% and 0.34%, eight and nine basis points higher than Thursday's one-year MMD scale.

The credit is rated MIG-1 by Moody's Investors Service, SP-1-plus by Standard & Poor's, and F1-plus by Fitch Ratings.

The Municipal Market Data triple-A scale yielded a record-low 2.30% in 10 years and a record-low 3.42% in 20 years Thursday, following levels of 2.32% and 3.44% Wednesday. The scale yielded 3.78% in 30 years Thursday, also a new record, following 3.81% Wednesday.

Thursday's levels represent the eight straight historical low for 10-year munis, and the first record-breaking rally in 20 and 30 years since 2009. This also marks the first time record lows were reached in 10, 20, and 30 years on the same day since Oct. 2, 2009, which posted the all-time low in 20 and 30 years until Thursday and in 10 years until August 6.

"We were pretty flat in the morning, but there is firmness seeping in now," a trader in Los Angeles said. "We're probably going to pick up at least another basis point or two when all is said and done."

Thursday's triple-A muni scale in 10 years was at 89.1% of comparable Treasuries and 30-year munis were at 103.3%, according to MMD, while 30-year tax-exempt triple-A general obligation bonds were at 114.9% of the comparable London Interbank Offered Rate.

The Treasury market showed gains Thursday. The benchmark 10-year note was quoted recently at 2.58% after opening at 2.63%. The 30-year bond was quoted recently at 3.66% after opening at 3.74%. The two-year note was quoted recently at 0.49% after opening at 0.50%.

Elsewhere in the new-issue market Thursday, Goldman Sachs priced $116.7 million of new-money and refunding revenue bonds for the Washington Health Care Facilities Authority, on behalf of Seattle Children's Hospital.

Bonds from the $75 million new-money Series A mature in 2040, yielding 4.65% with a 5% coupon. The bonds are callable at par in 2020.

Bonds from the $41.7 million refunding Series B mature from 2011 through 2022, with yields ranging from 0.90% with a 3% coupon in 2011 to 3.60% with a 5% coupon in 2022. The bonds are callable at par in 2020.

The credit is rated Aa3 by Moody's and AA by Fitch.

In economic data released Thursday, initial jobless claims increased 12,000 to 500,000 for the week ending Aug. 14, the third straight increase in weekly claims and the highest level for the calendar year.

Continuing claims decreased to 4.478 million in the week ending Aug. 7, the second consecutive decrease and the lowest level since June.

Economists expected 476,000 initial claims and 4.500 million continuing claims, according to the median estimate from Thomson Reuters.

The composite index of Leading Economic Indicators grew 0.1% in July.

LEI was revised to a 0.3% decline in June, originally reported as a 0.2% drop.

The coincident index rose 0.2% in July, after a revised 0.1% decrease in June, originally reported as unchanged, while the lagging index rose 0.4% after an unrevised 0.1% increase in June.

The LEI stands at 109.8, the coincident index is at 101.4 and the lagging index is at 107.9.

Economists polled by Thomson Reuters predicted LEI would be up 0.2% in the month.

The region's manufacturing sector weakened in August, as the general business conditions index slipped to negative 7.7 from positive 5.1 in July, this month's Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Report on Business indicates.

Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters predicted a reading of 7.0 for the index.

Visible Supply

The Bond Buyer's 30-day visible supply fell $2.421 billion to $6.569 billion. The total is comprised of $1.160 billion of competitive bonds and $5.408 billion of negotiated bonds.

Previous Session's Activity

The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board reported 42,344 trades of 15,005 issues for volume of $15.40 billion. Most active was Arizona's Scottsdale Industrial Development Authority 5s of 2035 that traded 178 times at a high of 104.112 and a low of 100.155.


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