Fitch Ratings on Wednesday revised New York’s general obligation rating outlook to stable from positive, citing a deteriorating economic and financial environment. It affirmed the state’s AA-minus rating. The outlook change affects about $3 billion of outstanding GO debt. Fitch also revised the rating outlook to stable from positive on about $45 billion of other state-supported debt. Although New York has taken proactive steps to address projected budget gaps, the agency said in a press release that it does not believe the state’s rating is likely to improve within two years — which is what a positive outlook indicates — “particularly given the outsized role the troubled financial services industry plays in the state’s economy and revenue system.” New York derives about 20% of its revenue from the financial sector, which has been hammered in recent months. Gov. David Paterson told CNBC this week that the state’s combined budget deficit for the current year and next fiscal year could hit $12.5 billion.
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Next year, the "muni market could see stable to improving returns depending on yield curve positioning, with better performance possible at the long end of the curve," said Jonathan Rocafort, managing director and head of fixed income solutions at Parametric.
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The state paused recently approved transportation taxes after a Republican-led campaign to reverse them delivered signatures for a ballot measure.
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It is one of several P3-related recommendations the board made to Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy.
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The city council president hopes the panel will override the mayor's veto of the budget this week.
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Federal Reserve Gov. Stephen Miran said higher goods prices could be the trade-off for bolstering national security and addressing geo-economic risks.
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"The steps that would be necessary to restore a sound fiscal profile are becoming increasingly drastic," the rating agency said in downgrading Jersey City.
December 15





