California revenues miss expectations for July

California revenues for the first month of the fiscal year came in $178 million below forecast, according to the state’s Department of Finance.

General fund agency cash receipts from sales and use tax receipts and corporation tax revenues were below expectations $480 million and $17 million, respectively.

California's State Capitol in Sacramento
Flags fly in front of the California State Capitol building in Sacramento.
Bloomberg News

Personal income tax revenues and insurance tax cash receipt exceeded expectations forecast in the 2018-19 budget by $249 million and $3 million, respectively.

The largest source of revenue in California comes from personal income tax receipts and July is not a significant month for estimated or final income tax payments, according to the report.

The state’s real GDP increased at an annualized 1.5% in the first quarter of 2018, following 3% annual growth in 2017. U.S. real GDP rose 2.2% and 4.1% in the first quarter and second quarter of 2018, respectively, following 2.2% annual growth in 2017. Consumer price inflation rose 3.9% in California and 2.9% in the U.S. from June 2017 to June 2018.

The unemployment rate remained at the record low of 4.2% for the third straight month in June. The U.S. unemployment rate rose 0.2% to 4% in June before falling to 3.9% in July.

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