Markets

Despite headwinds in the higher education sector, Louisiana State has enjoyed rising undergraduate enrollment.

"Rates, not fundamentals, continue to drive benchmark yields higher, leaving munis on track for their fourth-worst monthly performance in 15 years," said James Pruskowski, managing director at Hennion & Walsh.

"You would think global instability leads to flight for quality, but you also have the inflationary pressures that come with higher oil prices. I would say the inflationary pressures have been winning, and that's why you're seeing Treasury and muni rates move higher," said Keith Richard, head of public finance at Siebert Williams Shank.

The AA-minus-rated bonds come to market as the hospital sector continues to navigate through rising expenses and other challenges.

"We are in interesting times as the market must now balance these robust technicals against a backdrop of geopolitical tension in the Middle East and the nomination of Kevin Warsh, whose hawkish reputation is already being weighed by participants," said Jason Wong, vice president of municipals at AmeriVet Securities.

Three rating agencies now have negative outlooks on New York City. 

"The secondary infrastructure demands [of data centers] will increasingly flow through to municipal balance sheets, driving incremental issuance across multiple sectors," said J.P. Morgan strategists.

While it's unclear how long the war in the Middle East will drag on, once President Donald Trump announces an end to the war, things could change "on a dime," as happened with the tariff-induced volatility in April 2025, said Peter Block, managing director of credit strategy at Ramirez.

Findings from The Bond Buyer's 2026 Predictions report predict funding crises in these market sectors will be a top worry for municipal finance pros.

"Looking at where oil was and the potential for disruption, and this being tax season and issuers having to pull deals, there's no reason why yields wouldn't have been higher," said Matt Fabian, president of Municipal Market Analytics.