Feb. PPI data should ease inflation fears

Final demand PPI rose by 0.2% in February, slightly faster than expected, with a 0.2% gain outside of food and energy prices.

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PPI

An analysis of MNI survey data showed no clear forecast risk for the February data.

The personal consumption price measure in the data, which some analysts use as a preview measure for PCE price index, rose by 0.2% and was up 0.4% ex. food and energy and still up 0.4% also excluding trade services, suggesting a modest upside risk to the PCE inflation data.

Energy prices fell 0.5% in the month, with gasoline prices down 1.6%. However, residential natural gas prices rose 3.7%. Food prices were down 0.4%.

Trade services prices fell 0.2% in the month, while the core rate the BLS prefers, excluding the change in trade services as well as food and energy, was up 0.4% in February.

The year/year rates for these measures indicated some overall acceleration. Overall PPI was up 2.8% year/year in February after a 2.7% year/year rise in January.

At the same time, the year/year rate for PPI excluding food and energy rose to 2.5% from 2.2% in January and the year/year rate for PPI excluding food, energy and trade services rose to 2.7% from 2.5%.


Market News International is a real-time global news service for fixed-income and foreign exchange market professionals. See www.marketnews.com.
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