Securitization

Yields may move lower after the Federal Reserve "communicates its goals to ease policy in coming meetings," said Tom Kozlik, managing director and head of public policy and municipal strategy at HilltopSecurities.

Concerns have been raised about audits related to nearly $2.9 billion of ratepayer-backed bonds sold for Oklahoma utilities in 2022.

"The overall muni market appears to be in a good balance despite the hefty slate of primary issuance that has occurred over the past few months," Birch Creek Capital strategists said.

The muni market tends to have "remarkable patience" in relation to USTs, said BofA strategists.

Despite munis being mixed Thursday, the muni AAA yield curve remains inverted, said Taylor Huffman, a client portfolio manager at PTAM.

"While supply has been outsized over the last several weeks, the market has also seen outsized reinvestment demand over the last several months," said Nuveen strategists.

This week again sees elevated supply, as issuance sits at $9.673 billion, with Tuesday being a very busy day.

The initial reaction was a little bit a flight-to-quality trade in rates, which is supportive of USTs and munis as safe-haven assets do well during times of uncertainty, said Chris Brigati, senior vice president and director of strategic planning and fixed income research at SWBC.

The new-issue calendar is at $9.7 billion the week, led by the Texas Transportation Commission with $1.7 billion of first-tier and second-tier revenue refunding bonds.

Municipal bond mutual funds saw inflows as investors added $891.4 million to funds after $775.3 million of inflows the week prior, according to LSEG Lipper.