Secondary bond market

With massive secondary selling pressure and a larger calendar, credit spreads are likely to continue to widen.

Next week's potential volume is slated to be more than $8 billion, led by $1.25 billion of taxable and tax-exempt future tax-secured subordinate bonds from the New York City Transitional Finance Authority.

Outflows continued, with Refinitiv Lipper reporting investors shed $1.503 billion from municipal bond mutual funds in the week, following outflows of $2.136 billion in the previous week. High-yield saw small inflows.

More outflows from municipal bond mutual funds were reported as bid lists surpass $1 billion 22 times in 2022.

The triple-A 10-year yield is above 2% on all scales, the highest since March 2020.

Muni performance has been strong as of late, and spreads have actually corrected after a month of gradual widening.

Next week's potential volume is slated to be $7.7 billion. The largest deal of the week comes from New York City with $891 million of tax-exempt general obligation bonds. Recent New York paper traded up Friday.

The MSRB has issued a warning that with the rise in interest rates in recent months, bonds trading at a discount may be less liquid than those trading at par.

With volatility and illiquidity realities for the foreseeable future, insights into new-issue and secondary pricing are critical.

Outflows continued, rising significantly in the latest week, with Refinitiv Lipper reporting $2.136 billion coming out of municipal bond mutual funds, following outflows of $661.675 billion in the previous week.