Primary bond market

"Even though it will be priced to sell, such large supply in one week may be a struggle for the asset class," said Anders S. Persson, Nuveen's chief investment officer for global fixed income, and Daniel J. Close, Nuveen's head of municipals.

The muni market also faces an elevated new-issue calendar, which may put additional pressure on muni yields. Bond Buyer 30-day visible supply sits at $17.57 billion.

The billion-dollar deal will be the first bonds backed by the tax since it was created in 2019.

"'The market environment will likely become a bit more difficult in the coming week, as supply will jump to its highest level in weeks, while dealers are heavier than average," said Mikhail Foux, head of municipal research and strategy at Barclays.

Sizable deals for next week include $1.3 billion of real estate transfer tax revenue bonds from the Triborough Bridge and Tunnel Authority and $996.335 million of second series revenue bonds from the San Francisco International Airport.

The largest issuance the Local Government Commission approved was $387 million of bonds for Mecklenburg County.

The Federal Reserve will be more cautious and slow rate cuts going forward, according to minutes of the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting, released Wednesday.

Pressing issues like the shifts in banking teams at various firms following Citi's exit from the business to major ratings changes make the ranking.

"Further Treasury rate volatility or distractions from more favorable alternatives could at the very least moderate money invested into the municipal bond market," DWS strategists said. However, "these dynamics could create periods of opportunity to buy tax-exempt bonds at attractive yields in 2025."

After selling $500 million of revenue bonds in 2023, the turnpike authority could return to the market later this month with a $1.3 billion issue.