Primary bond market

Market reaction to inflation numbers was "tempered," said Richard Flax, chief investment officer at Moneyfarm. But should inflationary pressures hold in 2025, "markets may anticipate that further rate cuts could be limited in scope, suggesting a more cautious investment outlook."

Trump's proposed corporate tax cut, if enacted, would further concentrate the buyer base and increase the chance of volatility, said Wells Fargo head of municipal strategy Vikram Rai.

Municipals ignored USTs losses, leading to lower muni to UST ratios and adding to the better performance across the curve and credit spectrum.

The borrower is planning to use a convertible taxable "Cinderella" structure in the wake of a delay in securing tax exemption for a chunk of the deal.

The focus: municipal advisors — part of your regulatory responsibilities and duties (if you don't agree to evaluate pricing and/or structure, you must expressly disclose it to the client) and broker-dealers (fair dealing). 

Tax-exempt money market funds reached a 2024 high of assets under management at $136.84 billion for the week ending Wednesday, according to the Investment Company Institute.

"A sharply lower new-issuance calendar, peak yields, large redemption money and mutual funds inflows are all positive performance factors for the market," BofA strategists said.

Despite the post-election selloff, inflows continued this week as LSEG Lipper reported investors added $1.263 billion to municipal bond mutual funds for the week ending Wednesday, compared to $658.5 million of inflows the prior week. High-yield inflows returned.

The red wave that took the presidency and the Senate — along with increased odds of a Republican victory in the House — was hanging heavily over fixed income markets Wednesday, with munis and UST yields rising up to 17 basis points, with the largest losses out long.

"A victory for former President Trump is likely to be viewed as ushering in a more inflationary environment, whereas a win for Vice President Harris will probably be seen as closer to the status quo," said Erik Weisman, chief economist and portfolio manager at MFS Investment Management."