New issues likely to see good demand; munis end stronger ahead of supply

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Municipal bonds finished stronger on Monday ahead of this week’s $7.77 billion new issue calendar. The slate consists of $5.81 billion of negotiated deals and $1.96 billion of competitive sales.

"The strong market technicals will drive good demand," said Michael Pietronico, chief executive officer at Miller Tabak Asset Management. "In particular we sense larger institutions will be the predominant buyers, as attractive block offerings have been few and far between in the municipal market these past couple of weeks."

Primary market
On Monday, Bank of America Merrill Lynch held a second day of retail orders on Massachusetts’ $918.49 million of tax-exempt general obligation bonds. The deal will be priced for institutions on Tuesday.

The bonds are rated Aa1 by Moody’s Investors Service, AA by S&P Global Ratings and AA-plus by Fitch Ratings.

In the competitive arena on Tuesday, New York’s Empire State Development is selling about $1.56 billion of Urban Development Corp. state personal income tax revenue bonds in six sales. The bonds are rated Aa1 by Moody’s and AA-plus by Fitch.

On Wednesday, Wells Fargo Securities is expected to price the New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority’s $500 million of transportation program bonds. The deal is rated A-minus by Fitch and Kroll Bond Rating Agency,

On Thursday, JPMorgan Securities expected to price the San Francisco Airport Commission’s $1.78 billion of tax-exempt and taxable revenue and revenue refunding bonds. The deal, which consists of bonds subject to the alternative minimum tax and non-AMT bonds, is rated A1 by Moody’s and A-plus by S&P and Fitch.

Bond sale
Click here for the Massachusetts retail pricing

Bond Buyer 30-day visible supply at $10.53B
The Bond Buyer's 30-day visible supply calendar increased $259.6 million to $10.53 billion for Monday. The total is comprised of $3.99 billion of competitive sales and $6.55 billion of negotiated deals.

Secondary market
Municipal bonds were stronger on Monday, according to a late read of the MBIS benchmark scale. Benchmark muni yields fell as much as three basis points in the two- to 30-year maturities while dropping four basis points in the one-year maturity.

High-grade munis were also stronger, with yields calculated on MBIS' AAA scale falling as much as four basis points in the one- to 30-year maturities.

Municipals were mixed on Municipal Market Data’s AAA benchmark scale, which showed the yield on the 10-year muni general obligation remaining unchanged while the yield on the 30-year muni maturity rose by two basis points.

Treasury bonds were weaker amid continuing stock market volatility. The Treasury 30-year was yielding 2.972%, the 10-year yield stood at 2.675%, the five-year was at 2.509%, the two-year was at 2.524% while the Treasury three-month bill stood at 2.412%.

On Monday, the 10-year muni-to-Treasury ratio was calculated at 82.4% while the 30-year muni-to-Treasury ratio stood at 99.9%, according to MMD. The muni-to-Treasury ratio compares the yield of tax-exempt municipal bonds with the yield of taxable U.S. Treasury with comparable maturities. If the muni/Treasury ratio is above 100%, munis are yielding more than Treasury; if it is below 100%, munis are yielding less.

“The broader muni yield curve is lower by one basis point in the shorter end out to eight-years and unchanged on the longer end,” ICE Data Services said in a Monday market comment. “The taxable curve had moved this morning. It was 3.1 basis points higher in yield at the two-year mark and tapering down to 1.1 basis point higher in the 10-year with the 30-year being down one basis point in yield.”

Previous session's activity
The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board reported 36,387 trades on Friday on volume of $7.66 billion.

California, New York and Texas were the municipalities with the most trades, with the Golden State taking 14.95% of the market, the Empire State taking 11.183% and the Lone Star State taking 9.685%.

Week's actively traded issues
Revenue bonds comprised 56.69% of total new issuance in the week ended Jan. 4, according to Markit with general obligation bonds making up 37.62% and taxable bonds accounting for 5.69%.

Some of the most actively traded munis by type in the were from New Jersey, Texas and Puerto Rico issuers.

In the GO bond sector, the Jersey City 3.25s of 2020 traded 22 times. In the revenue bond sector, the Texas 4s of 2019 traded 20 times. And in the taxable bond sector, the Puerto Rico Government Development Bank Recovery Authority 7.5s of 2040 traded 27 times.

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Treasury auctions discount rate bills
Tender rates for the Treasury Department's latest 91-day and 182-day discount bills were lower, as the $39 billion of three-months incurred a 2.410% high rate, off from 2.465% the prior week, and the $36 billion of six-months incurred a 2.470% high rate, down from 2.505% the week before.

Coupon equivalents were 2.458% and 2.536%, respectively. The price for the 91s was 99.390806and that for the 182s was 98.751278.

The median bid on the 91s was 2.390%. The low bid was 2.350%. Tenders at the high rate were allotted 47.49%. The bid-to-cover ratio was 3.06.

The median bid for the 182s was 2.440%. The low bid was 2.410%. Tenders at the high rate were allotted 81.66%. The bid-to-cover ratio was 2.98.

Gary Siegel contributed to this report.

Data appearing in this article from Municipal Bond Information Services, including the MBIS municipal bond index, is available on The Bond Buyer Data Workstation. Click here for a brief tour of the Workstation, or contact Ziad Saba at 212-803-6079 for more information.

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Primary bond market Secondary bond market Commonwealth of Massachusetts New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority State of New York State of California State of Texas Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico
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