NAHB Housing Index Dips to 16 in April

NEW YORK - Builders’ confidence in the market for new single-family homes fell slightly, as the National Association of Home Builders' housing market index - a monthly gauge of builder sentiment – dipped to 16 in April from 17 in March.

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Thomson Reuters' poll of economists predicted a level of 17.

“While builders in some areas are starting to see a pickup in traffic of prospective home buyers, many consumers remain skittish about the health of the housing market and overall economy, particularly in view of recent legislative and regulatory proposals that could make it much harder to get a mortgage,” said NAHB Chairman Bob Nielsen. “At the same time, builders are competing against a large number of foreclosed and distressed properties on the market, which are holding down prices and appraisals and making it tough for potential clients to sell their existing homes.”

“The spring home buying season is getting off to a slow start due to persistent concerns about home values as more foreclosures seem to be hitting the market, increasingly restrictive lending requirements for home buyers and builders, and the slow pace of economic recovery,” NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe said. “While pockets of improving activity are appearing in some markets, the best sales activity appears to be happening in the lower price ranges, where first-time buyers have greater flexibility than repeat buyers who must sell their current home. Consumers who can take advantage of today’s low mortgage rates and very attractive pricing are finding bargains and are buying.”

Derived from a monthly survey that NAHB has been conducting for more than 20 years, the NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as either "good," "fair" or "poor." The survey also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers as either "high to very high," "average" or "low to very low." Scores for each component are then used to calculate a seasonally adjusted index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.

Two of the three component indexes fell in April. The current single-family home sales index slipped to 16 from 17, and the sales expectations index for the next six months slumped to 23 from 26. The traffic of prospective buyers index climbed to 13 from 12.


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