Munis Mixed After Fed Hints at Only 2 Rate Hikes in 2016

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Top-rated municipal bonds ended mixed on Wednesday, traders said, after the Federal Open Market Committee kept rates unchanged and lowered its federal funds rate projection for year-end to 0.9% from 1.4%. The lowered forecast means it expects to raise rates only two times this year, not the four indicated by the last set of "dot plots."

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The Summary of Economic Projections also lowered the projection for GDP this year to 2.2% from a 2.4% expectation in December. The panel described expansion as "moderate" and held the target range for the federal funds rate at 0.25% to 0.50.

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Esther George opposed the decision, according to the statement, preferring "to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1/2 to 3/4 percent."

In the primary market, the big Connecticut deal was priced for institutions while the Nashville and Davidson County sale was priced for retail investors.

 

Secondary Trading

The yield on the 10-year benchmark muni general obligation dropped two basis points to 1.88% from 1.90% on Tuesday, while the 30-year muni yield was steady at 2.84%, according to the final read of Municipal Market Data's triple-A scale. Yields on short maturities were steady to as much as three basis points higher.

U.S. Treasuries were narrowly mixed on Wednesday. The yield on the two-year Treasury fell to 0.89% from 0.96% on Tuesday, while the 10-year Treasury yield declined to 1.94% from 1.96% and the 30-year Treasury bond yield rose to 2.74% from 2.72%.

The 10-year muni to Treasury ratio was calculated on Wednesday at 97.1% compared to 97.0% on Tuesday, while the 30-year muni to Treasury ratio stood at 103.9% versus 104.4%, according to MMD.

 

Primary Market

Ramirez & Co. priced and repriced Connecticut's $550 million of general obligation bonds for institutions on Wednesday after a one-day retail order period.

The issue was repriced for institutions to yield from 0.60% with a 3% coupon in 2017 to 3.50% with a 4% coupon in 2036.

On Tuesday, the issue was priced for retail to yield from 1.14% with 2%, 3% and 4% coupons in a triple split 2019 maturity to 3.46% with a 4% coupon in half of a split 2036 maturity. No retail orders were taken in the 2028, 2032-32, 2034-35 maturities or in second half of the 2036 split maturity. The 2017-18 maturities were offered as sealed bids.

The deal is rated Aa3 by Moody's Investors Service and AA by S&P, Fitch and Kroll Bond Rating Agency. Moody's, S&P and Kroll have a negative outlook on the state while Fitch maintains a stable outlook.

Since 2006, Connecticut has sold about $28 billion of debt, with the largest issuances in 2008 and 2009 when it offered $4.2 billion and $3.8 billion, respectively. The Constitution State had low years of issuance in 2006 and 2007, when it came to market with $1.9 billion and $1.3 billion, respectively.

Robert W. Baird & Co. priced Winston-Salem, N.C.'s $135.47 million of Series 2016A water and sewer system revenue refunding bonds and Series 2016B taxable water and sewer system revenue refunding bonds.

The $124.14 million of Series 2016A bonds were priced to yield from 0.72% with a 3% coupon in 2018 to 3.21% with a 3.125% coupon in 2039. The $11.33 million of Series 2016B bonds were priced at par to yield from 0.63% in 2016 to 1.35% in 2019. The deal was rated Aa1 by Moody's, triple-A by S&P and AA-plus by Fitch.

On Tuesday, the city sold a total of $67.93 million of GOs and taxable GOs in four competitive sales.

Morgan Stanley priced the California Health Facilities Financing Authority's $176.98 million of Series 2016A refunding revenue bonds and Series 2016B revenue bonds for the Lucile Packard Children's Hospital at Stanford.

The $76.98 million of Series 2016A bonds were priced as 3s to yield from 0.60% in 2016 to 2.732% in 2033. The $100 million of Series 2016B bonds were priced as 5s to yield 3.34% in a 2055 bullet maturity. The deal is rated Aa3 by Moody's, AA-minus by S&P and AA by Fitch.

JPMorgan Securities priced for retail the Nashville and Davidson County Health and Educational Facilities, Tenn.'s $483.995million of Series 2016A revenue bonds for the Vanderbilt University Medical Center.

The deal was priced for retail as 5s to yield 3.14% in 2029 and 3.21% in 2030. No retail orders were taken in the 2031, 2035, 2040 or 2046 maturities. The bonds are rated A3 by Moody's.


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