CHICAGO — Michigan is expected to see its revenues drop in 2013 — due largely to tax policy changes — followed by an uptick in 2014 and 2015, economists and state budget officials said Friday.

"Michigan is starting its fourth year of economic recovery after nearly a decade-long recession," George Fulton, director of the Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics at the University of Michigan said at a House Appropriations Committee meeting, where the state's twice-annual revenue estimating conference was held. "We expect to see a sustained moderately paced recovery through 2015, extending [the recovery] to six years."

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