Consumers’ inflation expectations held for three-year, but rose for the one-year horizon, according to the October Survey of Consumer Expectations, released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on Monday.

“While inflation expectations were relatively stable, year-ahead expectations of food price changes reached their lowest value since the start of our survey in June 2013,” the survey noted.

Median inflation expectations grew to 2.6% in October from 2.5% in September for a one-year period and held at 2.8% for a three-year horizon.

Turning to labor, the expected earnings growth for one-year slid to 2.1% from 2.3%. The mean perceived probability of losing one’s job in the next 12 months rose to 15.3% from 13.8%, while the mean probability of leaving one’s job voluntarily in the next 12 months gained to 23.1% from 20.6%.

The probability of finding a job, if one lost his/her current job, slipped to 57.7% from 59.2%.

Median one-year ahead home prices are expected to grow 3.0%, unchanged from last month, the Fed said.

Median household spending expectations crept to 2.8% from 2.7%, below the trailing 12-month average of 3.1%. Income growth expectations climbed to 2.6% from 2.2.

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Gary Siegel

Gary Siegel

Gary Siegel has been at The Bond Buyer since 1989, currently covering economic indicators and the Federal Reserve system.