Durable Goods Orders Rise 4.0% in July; Ex-Transportation Up 0.7%

WASHINGTON - New orders for durable goods rose 4.0% in July, on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday.

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Orders excluding transportation rose 0.7%.

June orders were revised to a 1.3% overall decline from the originally reported 1.9% drop and to a 0.6% increase excluding transportation, up from the previously reported 0.4% rise.

The median estimates of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters was for a 2.0% increase in total orders and a 0.5% decline excluding transportation.

Transportation orders themselves were up 14.6%, based on large increases in aircraft and new vehicles.

Before the release, Bank of America Merrill Lynch economists said "we could thank American Airlines" for a stronger headline number. The company ordered 100 737 airliners from Boeing.  That led to a 43.4% increase in new orders for civilian aircraft.

New vehicle orders were up 11.5%, the biggest increase since January 2003. BMO Capital Markets noted that auto output by volume was up 5.2%.

The core non-defense capital goods orders excluding transportation fell 1.5%, in line with weak reports from regional manufacturing surveys. Forecasters also pointed out a common first-month-of-the-quarter phenomenon in which orders plunge in the first month and rebound in the following two months.

Primary metals orders went up 10.3% as copper prices rose. Orders for communications and electronic products fell 24.8%.

July shipments of non-defense capital goods ex-aircraft rose 0.2% after a 1.9% drop in June.

Unfilled orders rose 0.7% overall and the same in the core.

 


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