September CPI up 0.5%; Core rate rose 0.1%

WASHINGTON -- The Consumer Price Index rose 0.5%, slightly below expectations for a 0.6% gain, while core CPI rose only 0.1% compared with a 0.2% expected gain, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Friday.

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BLS said that it could not quantify the exact impact of the hurricanes on the CPI data, but said there was a small impact on data collection in Florida due to Hurricane Irma.

Within core CPI, owners equivalent rents rose 0.2%, while the lodging away from home category rose 1.5%. Prices of new vehicles were down 0.4% while medical care prices fell 0.1%.

Energy prices surged 6.1% in the month, with a 13.1% rise in gasoline prices and an 8.2% jump in fuel oil prices. Excluding only energy prices, the September CPI would have been up 0.1%. Energy prices are likely to rise further in the coming months due to supply shortages from the hurricane-impacted regions. Higher gasoline pump prices have already been seen in October.

Food prices were up 0.1% in September, with food at home were flat and food away from home rose 0.3%. The impact of the hurricanes on Florida could be seen in rising fruit prices in the future, but that category fell 0.2% in October. There were also declines for the meat and dairy categories.

The year/year rate for overall CPI now stands at 2.2%, up from the 1.9% rate in August. For core CPI, the year/year rate held steady at 1.7%.

Overall, the CPI data points to contained core consumer inflation, with the year/year rate remaining well below the 2% threshold, allowing the FOMC to maintain a slow pace of policy tightening.

The 3Q/3Q average for the CPI-W, the proxy for the cost of living increase for Social Security recipients, rose 2.0%.


Market News International is a real-time global news service for fixed-income and foreign exchange market professionals. See www.marketnews.com.
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