The Conference Board's Employment Trends Index (ETI) slid to 133.07 in June from a downwardly revised 133.32 in May, first reported as 133.70, and is up 4.6% from a year ago, the group announced Monday.

"Despite the June decline in the Employment Trends Index, job growth will remain strong in the coming months. The decline is small and comes after a series of large increases since early 2017," said Gad Levanon, chief economist, North America, at The Conference Board. "Further job growth in the coming months will continue to tighten the labor market, and will likely result in further wage acceleration later this year."

The slide in ETI was driven by negative contributions from three of the eight components.

The decreasing indicators — from the largest contributor to the smallest — were percentage of firms with positions not able to fill right now, ratio of involuntarily part-time to all part-time workers, and initial claims for unemployment insurance, according to the Conference Board.


The ETI aggregates eight labor-market indicators, each of which has proven accurate in its own area. Aggregating individual indicators into a composite index filters out so-called "noise" to show underlying trends more clearly.

The eight labor-market indicators aggregated into the ETI include: Percentage of respondents who say they find "Jobs Hard to Get" (The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey); Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance (U.S. Department of Labor); Percentage of Firms With Positions Not Able to Fill Right Now (National Federation of Independent Business Research Foundation); Number of Employees Hired by the Temporary-Help Industry (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics); Part-time Workers for Economic Reasons (BLS); Job Openings (BLS); Industrial Production (Federal Reserve Board); and Real Manufacturing and Trade Sales (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis).

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Gary Siegel

Gary Siegel

Gary Siegel has been at The Bond Buyer since 1989, currently covering economic indicators and the Federal Reserve system.