Finance

Prices for some bonds issued for Florida's express train have fallen sharply since Friday.

"The muni market seemed to ignore Treasuries [last] week, marching to its own beat," said Birch Creek strategists.

The top issuers for the first half of 2025 put out a combined 89 issuances amounting to more than $39 billion in par value.

New York issuers lead a $9 billion slate.

The negative outlook affects about $1.1 billion in combined GO and lease revenue debt, according to Fitch.

The market has seen some "weirdness" in the muni curve, said Craig Brandon, co-head of muni investments at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.

"Municipal outperformance against taxable sectors has moved short-term ratios on or through their 252-day moving averages, while intermediate and long maturities are holding at or above average ranges," said Kim Olsan, senior fixed income portfolio manager at NewSquare Capital.

"Market volatility is likely to pick up, but the latest development does not constitute an escalation in the trade war," according to UBS strategists.

Markets are "tilting to a risk-off posture as participants brace for the chance of Trump tariff-sparked turbulence in the coming hours and days," said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers.

Moody's expects enplanements at the facility will remain below the low end of its former projections.