Finance

Issuance remains robust Wednesday with an estimated $5.9 billion, said J.P. Morgan strategists led by Peter DeGroot.

Moody's Ratings analysts revised the outlook to stable from negative on the expectation that states and locals will fill an $8 billion operations funding gap.

New-issue volume has topped $50 billion over the past few weeks, said AllianceBernstein in a weekly report.

Falling occupancy figures, staffing shortages, and rising labor costs have elevated the sector's risk, with Greenwich Investment Management's bankruptcy yet another example of how the sector requires thorough credit analysis.

This week's surge in issuance, which tops $14 billion, is "likely going to keep a lid on any enthusiasm," Birch Creek strategists said in a weekly report.

Connecticut's GO deal is expected to benefit from its improving fiscal reputation, embodied in two rating outlook revisions to positive ahead of the pricing.

While particpants expect some pressure in the near-term with more than $16 billion on tap, they also say the current yield and ratio levels offer investors opportunity.

The first chip in the state's triple-A crown comes ahead of plans to competitively auction $1.2 billion of general obligation bonds next week.

May volume "surprised on the high end and it has been one of the fastest starts to the year historically," said James Pruskowski, chief investment officer at 16Rock Asset Management.

Cabrera Capital Markets is among the firms that has capitalized on the exits of UBS and Citi from municipal bond underwriting to add senior bankers.

Despite losses, munis are "being set up nicely" as the summer season approaches, said Jeff Lipton, a research analyst and market strategist.

Muni yields rose up to 13 basis points Wednesday, depending on the curve, coming on the tailwind of a market correction, said Brad Libby, a fixed-income portfolio manager and credit analyst at Hartford Funds.

S&P Global Ratings revised the outlook on bonds issued for the University of Chicago Medical Center to negative from stable.

The California Community Choice Financing Authority was the leader in the public power sector, issuing nearly $5 billion or 28% market share in 2023. It was also one of the top 10 overall issuers of 2023.

SMA growth has been "pretty staggering to see," said Matthew Schrager, managing director and co-head of TD Securities Automated Trading, noting the "interplay between SMA and electronic trading is a very symbiotic relationship."

Munis sold off last week "as the anticipated market correction may have finally started ahead of the summer reinvestment period," said Jason Wong, vice president of municipals at AmeriVet Securities.

A pair of muni market experts propose cities and towns borrow through state-based, credit-enhanced bond banks to make the market more efficient.

Marty Mannion and Matt Schrager, managing directors and co-heads at TD Securities Automated trading division, discuss how automation and electronic trading are creating more opportunities and better outcomes for municipal market participants, including making muni bonds more accessible to a broader range of investors.

"For each May dating to 2021, the average 30-year MMD was 2.74% — or 122 basis points below the current yield," FHN Financial's Kim Olsan said. "The recent adjustment offers better investor value."

The majority of the debt sold for the state's community choice aggregators came through CCCFA, a conduit issuer that ranked third among all issuers nationwide for volume issued in 2023.