Gary Siegel

The early dot plots were characterized by overly optimistic projections for gross domestic product, which were later revised down, while the projections made after 2017 have been somewhat pessimistic, but more accurate, according to research by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

Fed chair calls the illness a downside risk that arose while others are receding.

Nonfarm productivity grew at a 1.4% pace in the fourth quarter after slipping 0.2% a quarter earlier, the Labor Department reported Thursday.

The prevailing opinion is the Federal Reserve will note the downside risks caused by the virus, won’t cut rates in March, but bets are hedged for later in the year.

With manufacturing showing expansion for the first time in six months, a new issue threatens the sector.

An economic slowdown was expected in 2019, and the data prove the prediction was correct. Now softening consumer spending could portend the need for the Federal Reserve to ease policy at some point.

Monetary policy is accommodative and will remain so this year, but with the Fed's framework review concluding, some analysts believe it will shift from a 2% symmetric inflation target to an average inflation target.

The FOMC post-meeting statement was much like the previous one, with just a minor tweak, as the fed funds target was kept at a range of 1.50% to 1.75%.

Consumers remain confident, as the consumer confidence index rose to 131.6 in January from an upwardly revised 128.2 in December, the Conference Board reported Tuesday.

Just when everyone thought there would be little drama at this week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting, the coronavirus has infected the broader markets. Experts still say monetary policy will be immune for now.

While the fed funds rate target will remain at a range of 1.50% to 1.75% and there will be no new Summary of Economic Projections, the FOMC meeting may offer insight into areas that may become problematic and its thinking on the balance sheet, analysts suggest.

The Leading Economic Index fell 0.3% in December to 111.2, while the coincident index rose 0.1% and the lagging index dipped 0.1%, the Conference Board reported Thursday.

George Boyan, president of Leumi Investment Services, discusses negative interest rates, recession, and what challenges the Fed faces in the coming year. Gary Siegel hosts.

If Judy Shelton, who advocates for lower rates, wins confirmation to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, President Trump may have his choice to replace Chairman Jerome Powell.

While the general feeling is the Federal Reserve will keep rates steady this year, not everyone is on board with that view.

Waller is more likely to be confirmed, but it is "almost impossible" to find a public figure supportive of Shelton's nomination, let alone her confirmation.

With the phase one trade deal with China finally signed, there should be less uncertainty, which will boost the economy. But will China adhere to the pact?

A report from the Federal Reserve reported modest economic growth, a characterization two Federal Reserve Bank presidents seemed to agree with.

The Fed should hold rates and wait for the three 2019 cuts to work their way through the economy before deciding its next move, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Esther George said Tuesday.

Two Federal Reserve Bank presidents were positive about the economy in 2020, but offered a look at what worries them.