Mnuchin warns of ‘late summer’ default if no debt-limit increase

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin warned that the U.S. government will face a default in “late summer” unless Congress increases the debt ceiling.

Mnuchin, testifying Wednesday before the House Financial Services Committee, said he’s confident lawmakers will raise the debt ceiling before the deadline.

Steven Mnuchin, U.S. Treasury secretary, during the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., on Monday, April 30, 2018.
Steven Mnuchin, U.S. Treasury secretary, smiles during the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., on Monday, April 30, 2018. The conference brings together leaders in business, government, technology, philanthropy, academia, and the media to discuss actionable and collaborative solutions to some of the most important questions of our time. Photographer: Patrick T. Fallon/Bloomberg
Patrick T. Fallon/Bloomberg

The limit snapped back into place on March 2. So far, the Treasury Department has been able to shift funds and take other so-called extraordinary measures to prevent a default on the government’s debt.

The Bipartisan Policy Center, a research group unaffiliated with either party, estimated this month that a default would occur in October or early November.

Mnuchin and other top Trump administration officials on Tuesday began negotiations with congressional leaders from both parties on a two-year budget deal that would also increase the nation's debt ceiling. After earlier resisting combining talks on spending caps with the debt limit, the White House is now engaged in discussions on a combined package.

“Nobody wants a train wreck next fall, so it makes sense to try to kill two birds with one stone,'' South Dakota Senator John Thune, a member of the chamber's Republican leadership, said Tuesday.

A spending deal would aim to establish top-line levels for the next two fiscal years and avert $126 billion in automatic budget cuts set to take effect in December.

Any agreement would have to pass muster with Democrats who control the House as well as the Republican majority in the Senate.

Congressional Republicans are eager to avoid the $71 billion cut to the Pentagon slated to take place next year and to have a politically damaging repeat of this year's 35-day government shutdown. Without a caps agreement, an agreement on long term spending bills won't be possible, risking a shutdown.

Some Democrats want to increase social spending beyond the current year level, and their leaders are pushing to exempt the Census and some veterans spending from the cap.

Bloomberg News
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