March PPI rises more than expected

WASHINGTON — The March producer price index data were above expectations, raising the year/year headline rate slightly.

BB-041219-PPI

Overall PPI rose by 0.6%, compared with a 0.3% gain expected in both the MNI and Bloomberg surveys, while core prices rose 0.3%, above the 0.2% gain expected.

March PPI was up 0.6% (+0.597% unrounded) month/month overall on a sharp gain in energy prices and the larger than expected core reading, accompanied by a gain in food prices. Trade services prices also rose on the month.

Due to the increase for overall PPI, the year/year rate rose to +2.2% from +1.9% in February. At the same time, but the year/year rate for core prices fell to +2.4% from +2.5% in February. Also excluding trade prices, PPI was flat month/month and up 2.0% year/year, less than the 2.3% year/year gain in February.

Core PPI was +0.257% unrounded, on the low side of +0.3%, with the major components generally up.

Energy prices rose by 5.6% in March after a 1.8% gain in February, with gasoline prices rising 16.0%. AAA noted higher gasoline prices in mid-April than a month ago, so another gain in next month's data is possible. Electricity prices rose 0.6% and natural gas prices were up 1.4%. PPI excluding only energy posted a 0.3% gain, while food prices were up 0.3%.

The four-week moving average for claims fell by 7,000 to 207,000 in the April 6 week, the lowest since the December 6, 1969 week, and could fall in the following week. Continuing claims fell by 13,000 to 1.713 million in the March 30 week.

Market News International is a real-time global news service for fixed-income and foreign exchange market professionals. See www.marketnews.com.
Economic indicators
MORE FROM BOND BUYER