Fitch Ratings on Wednesday revised New York’s general obligation rating outlook to stable from positive, citing a deteriorating economic and financial environment. It affirmed the state’s AA-minus rating. The outlook change affects about $3 billion of outstanding GO debt. Fitch also revised the rating outlook to stable from positive on about $45 billion of other state-supported debt. Although New York has taken proactive steps to address projected budget gaps, the agency said in a press release that it does not believe the state’s rating is likely to improve within two years — which is what a positive outlook indicates — “particularly given the outsized role the troubled financial services industry plays in the state’s economy and revenue system.” New York derives about 20% of its revenue from the financial sector, which has been hammered in recent months. Gov. David Paterson told CNBC this week that the state’s combined budget deficit for the current year and next fiscal year could hit $12.5 billion.
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The city council took action to keep the property tax rate unchanged, a move that could punch a $53 million hole in the fiscal 2026 budget and drain reserves.
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"In theory at least, municipal yields should be able to stabilize here; levels remain attractive for pure income buyers while more sustainable constructive fund inflows are just enough to speak for rising issuance in the absence of meaningful reinvestment," said Matt Fabian, president of Municipal Market Analytics.
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The Trump administration's tariff policy is affecting vulnerable pockets of the economy including the construction industry, port operations and states with a reliance on international trade.
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"If I wanted to target municipal finance, this would be a really good place for me to start," said Omid Rahmani, public finance cybersecurity lead at Fitch Ratings.
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The financing challenges facing both Brightline projects have translated into falling bond prices.
October 15 -
Municipal Market analytics hired Marvis Gutierrez in response to growing demand for the firm's services and plans to keep hiring.
October 15