Tax

"With the initial announcement proving to be more aggressive than expected, the market responded overwhelmingly negatively," said Principal Asset's Seema Shah.

As the market absorbs the effects of the tariff rollout industry analysts are predicting a heavy dose of uncertainty in several key sectors of the municipal bond market.

At noon Thursday, muni yields had been bumped up to 12 basis points, depending on the curve, while UST yields rallied, with yields falling 13 basis points on the short-end.

The law cuts the individual income tax rate to 3% by calendar year 2030, with triggers that may drive future annual decreases until it ultimately falls to zero.

Details surrounding the tariffs — which could be anything from reciprocal tariffs to finally implementing delayed tariffs on Canada and Mexico and on pharmaceuticals — have remained unclear, but uncertainty has plagued the market for weeks.

Moody's Ratings upgraded Nebraska's issuer rating to Aaa from Aa1 on Monday. It also upgraded the state's $24 million certificates of participation to Aa1 from Aa2.

Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon, a Republican, has penned a "Dear Colleague" letter asking lawmakers to publicly support tax-exempt municipal bonds.

Legislation addressed expanding water supply, paying for flood damage, financing for capital projects, as well as a fiscal 2026 spending plan.

What's happening to the muni market is the "confluence of modest selling (via fund outflows and retail perhaps pausing during tax season); a heavy new issue calendar; and very thin near-term reinvestment expectations," said Matt Fabian, a partner at Municipal Market Analytics.

Goldman Sachs was tapped to lead a sales tax revenue bond issue to finance an arena to replace Paycom Center, home of the NBA's Thunder.