Secondary bond market

Inflows continued with the Investment Company Institute reporting investors added $2.083 billion to mutual funds in the week ending Jan. 18, after $1.982 billion of inflows the previous week.

The 2023 "January effect" seems to be "displaying typical behavior given relatively thin issuance this month and demand patterns that have been buoyed by four of six reinvestment needs," said Jeff Lipton, managing director of credit research at Oppenheimer Inc.

For the first time in several weeks, munis last week outperformed "by a wide margin and across the entirety of the yield curve," said Eric Kazatsky, head of municipal strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence.

Investors will be greeted Monday with a new-issue calendar estimated at $5.520 billion.

The primary "pumped new life into an already-firm market with a lower yield range being established," said Kim Olsan, senior vice president of municipal bond trading at FHN Financial.

Inflows returned, with the Investment Company Institute reporting investors added $1.982 billion to mutual funds in the week ending Jan. 11, after $3.157 billion of outflows the previous week.

Demand for muni bonds has slowly started make a comeback, with Jason Wong, vice president of municipals at AmeriVet Securities, saying, "this demand is a welcome sign to the tax-exempt sector as rising yields pushed investors to the sidelines."

Volume for the upcoming week is estimated at $8.34 billion, consisting of $6.30 billion of negotiated deals and $2.04 billion of competitive sales.

Underwriting fees generated for the board totaled some $7.4 million, an almost 50% drop from the $14.3 million the board received in 2020.

Outflows lessened, with the Investment Company Institute reporting investors pulled $3.157 billion from mutual funds in the week ending Jan. 4, after $3.402 billion of outflows the previous week.

"There was strong demand for the Pennsylvania Housing Finance Authority deal, which was three times oversubscribed," said a New York trader.

This week's "manageable" calendar will continue what has been a quiet start to the new year in the municipal market, according to John Mousseau, president and chief executive officer and director of fixed income at Cumberland Advisors.

Investors will be greeted Monday with a new-issue calendar estimated at $4.303 billion.

Outflows continued as Refinitiv Lipper reported $2.477 billion was pulled from municipal bond mutual funds in the week ending Wednesday after $1.946 billion of outflows the week prior.

The muni market "is being teed up to enter 2023 from a relative position of strength," said Jeff Lipton, managing director of credit research at Oppenheimer Inc.

"Bond investors bid a not-so-fond farewell to 2022 as they look forward to a much more attractive 2023," said Bryce Doty of Sit Investment Associates.

The value of the municipal bond market decreased by 4.3% in the third quarter of 2022, said Pat Luby, a strategist at CreditSights.

Outflows continued as Refinitiv Lipper reported $1.946 billion was pulled from municipal bond mutual funds in the week ending Wednesday after $3.094 billion of outflows in the prior week.

"With only a few days remaining in the year, muni bonds have had a tough year losing roughly 8.44% for the year," said Jason Wong, vice president of municipals at AmeriVet Securities.

"Although late-year volumes may be smaller, the market tone is holding firm on the premise of no supply/rollover demand — somewhat typical for December but noteworthy for the level of volatility the market has endured," said Kim Olsan, senior vice president of municipal bond trading at FHN Financial.