Monetary policy

In a speech, Federal Reserve Gov. Adriana Kugler said sound monetary policy comes when electoral politics are kept out of central banking.

The impact of both presidential candidates' fiscal promises around taxation and spending could have dramatic effects on the Federal Reserve's outlook for monetary policy, which has become more aggressive toward rooting out inflation.

While this meeting is a slam dunk, the election and data makes the December meeting more of a question, some analysts said.

The Federal Reserve began cutting rates in September. The December meeting is its last of 2024. Will the cutting continue, or will there be a pause? Join us live on Dec. 19 at 1 p.m., as Doug Peta, Chief Strategist, U.S. Investment Strategy, at BCA Research, discusses the meeting and future policy.

The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to cut interest rates at its September meeting, which will also provide a new Summary of Economic Projections. Marvin Loh, senior macro strategist at State Street Global Markets, will join us on September 19 to examine the meeting, the SEP and Fed Chair Powell's press conference.

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell flagged a recent upward revision to income and savings data as a sign of economic strength. He said the information could factor into the central bank's monetary policy discourse during the Fed's next interest rate meeting in November.

After cutting rates 50 basis points in September, the Federal Open Market Committee meets after Election Day to determine monetary policy. Join us live on Nov. 8 at 1 p.m., as Gary Pzegeo, head of fixed income at CIBC Private Wealth U.S., provides his take on the latest move.

This week, Federal Reserve Gov. Michelle Bowman cast the first dissenting vote at an FOMC meeting in years. On Friday, she explained why the economic data she's seen didn't convince her of the need to cut rates as much as her fellow governors thought.

Given the Fed's reluctance to "surprise markets or take actions that could be perceived as overtly political," Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist Steve Sosnick said, "we find it hard to believe that anything other than 25 bp is the likely outcome for the upcoming FOMC meeting."

"The numbers are weak, but not cusp of recession weak," Chris Low, chief economist at FHN Financial, said.