Economic indicators

The economy grew faster from late February through early April while consumer spending increased, with a possible rise in inflation in the near term, according to the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book released on Wednesday.

One-year municipal debt has fallen to record lows with benchmark yield curves at 0.05% and the 10-year muni has fallen below 1% while 30-year muni benchmark yields at or less than 10-year UST.

Rating agency moves on credits across the spectrum are pushing spread-tightening in munis, but the broader economy is still two years away from pre-pandemic levels, according to Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren.

Ratios aren't budging as municipal to UST outperformance is not abating. The three largest deals of the week will be taxable, increasing the demand component for exempt paper.

High-yield inflows return to the tune of $821 million. The 10-year triple-A hovers just above 1%.

The Investment Company Institute reported another week of inflows, $800-plus million, as participants focus on that part of the market as an indicator of how munis will fare during tax season.

The services sector showed improvement and employment made big gains in March, but economists note the labor market remains far from full employment.

Nonfarm payrolls rose 916,000 last month while the unemployment rate fell to 6%, and the workforce participation rate edged higher.

Biden's $2 trillion infrastructure proposal, combined with the shortened week and the arrival of the second quarter, took attention away from the muni market.

Larger fund flows, lower supply and optimism surrounding issuer credit post-stimulus allowed for a March price reversal that avoids posting two consecutive months with losses. The consumer confidence index jumped to its highest reading in a year in March.