Credit

Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton explains why proposals targeting wealth, property, and income taxes matter for municipal credit, and outlines what investors should watch in revenue replacement capacity, reserves, political willingness, and legal security structures.

Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton argues MRBs can add value to conservative muni sleeves, but warns that extraordinary redemption features, prepayment behavior, loan origination performance and liquidity constraints can make redemption analysis just as important as credit analysis.

Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton warns that as ESSER-era support fades, shifting enrollment patterns, voucher expansion, tax-cut dynamics and rising costs are exposing credit stress in parts of the K-12 sector — making security selection and disclosure discipline more important in 2026 and beyond.

Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton argues that state bond bank debt remains one of the muni market's most conservative, well-secured allocations — and makes the case for expanding bond bank models to broaden infrastructure access for smaller and underserved local borrowers and for addressing growing funding needs brought about by shifting federal priorities.

In this Market Intelligence analysis, Jeff Lipton warns that granting states access to Chapter 9 would be deeply disruptive, likely forcing muni yields higher and liquidity lower, while underscoring why states' legal protections and reserves still support strong willingness to pay.

Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton assigns a stable yet guarded view to airport bonds, highlighting how gateways and large hubs can outperform as fuel costs, travel demand and geopolitical risk evolve — while investors sharpen focus on leverage, rate recovery and cyber defenses.

Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton distills what he heard onstage and in the hallways at The Bond Buyer's 2026 National Outlook, from policy uncertainty and the muni tax exemption to AI's growing role and credit risk hotspots.

Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton analyzes how varied state funding priorities and overall charter school support, shifting enrollment patterns, policy uncertainty, charter renewal risk,  and varied pension practices affect charter school bond security—and outlines what issuers, advisors and investors should be communicating to the market.

In this third of a three-part 2026 municipal bond outlook series, Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton explains how another year of heavy supply, surging ETF and SMA assets, climate and cyber risk, and growing use of bond insurance will drive muni market structure and strategy for both sell-side and buy-side stakeholders.

Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton, in the second installment of his three-part 2026 outlook series, maps out quality-centric portfolio shifts, barbell and long-end strategies, and sector tilts across hospitals, higher education and housing as record supply and net inflows drive the muni market.

"The steps that would be necessary to restore a sound fiscal profile are becoming increasingly drastic," the rating agency said in downgrading Jersey City.

Market Intelligence analyst Jeff Lipton finds that low debt burdens, stronger rainy-day funds, improved pension metrics and robust legal safeguards help states remain a core source of stability and diversification for muni portfolios despite slowing growth and fiscal headwinds.

States face broadening credit challenges, and while local governments have shown resilience, school districts are more at risk, S&P Global Ratings said.

A mix of broader market dynamics and Chicago-specific pressures is driving the widening spreads, investors said.

Chicago will host its annual investor conference on Thursday as Mayor Brandon Johnson's administration faces challenges including a $1.12 billion deficit.

Fitch Ratings ranks the credit as AA, up from AA-minus.

Geography is playing a role in financial health as debt issuance rises.

Moody's has lifted the credit ratings on five special tax bonds.

The growing federal debt level may pressure lawmakers to retract or reduce the tax-exemption for munis to generate revenue, some market participants argue.

John Hallacy of John Hallacy Consulting and Rich Ciccarone, president emeritus of Merritt Research Services, talk with Chip Barnett about the municipal bond business over the past 40 years. They take a look back at where the industry has been, where it is and where it will be going.