A federal judge wrote in an opinion that a "mountain of evidence" suggests the subpoenas were an effort to push Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates or resign.

"We are still not overly concerned about the effect of the geopolitical concerns on municipals — in our view, the muni market is well insulated," said Barclays strategists.

Federal Reserve Gov. Lisa Cook said AI could boost productivity, but warned the transition may raise unemployment and force difficult tradeoffs between inflation and jobs.

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said the central bank should focus on getting inflation to its 2% target before making any additional cuts to short-term interest rates.

Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher Waller said during an appearance Monday his decision on whether or not to support a cut to short-term interest rates depends on labor market indicators.

The Bond Buyer's 2026 Predictions Report shows professionals expect growth for the year ahead, but are cautious about changes coming to the central bank.

"Unsurprisingly, the market is taking these numbers in stride, with the bond market only slightly higher after a large rally over the last couple of days due to the equity market sell-off," said John Kerschner, global head of securitized products and portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.

"The bond market marked down the odds of rate cuts after the release," said FHN Financial Chief Economist Chris Low. "The fact long yields are still lower than two days ago suggests traders are skeptical of the quality of the employment data but are confident the Fed will use it as a reason to keep rates steady," he said.

Sean Snaith, Director of the Institute for Economic Forecasting at the University of Central Florida, will provide insight into the FOMC meeting.

Analysts were pleased that a known quantity with bona fides was the pick, but Warsh may bring about changes in the Fed that have some concerned.

Warsh, who served on the U.S. central bank's Board of Governors from 2006 to 2011 and has previously advised Trump on economic policy, would succeed Jerome Powell when his term at the helm ends in May.

Over the past five years, January has seen a relatively stable market tone, said Jeff Timlin, managing partner and head of municipal bond investing at Sage Advisory.

"Markets are reading this as a strategic pause, not a policy shift," said Gina Bolvin, president of Bolvin Wealth Management Group.

Analysts don't expect a rate cut at this meeting, but offer thoughts on the year ahead and the to-be-named Fed chair.

Munis were steady Monday following the large cuts the asset class saw last week, specifically on Tuesday, Jan. 20.

Observers said the Supreme Court likely will allow Federal Reserve Gov. Lisa Cook to remain at her post while she challenges her purported removal by President Donald Trump. But her continued presence would slow, rather than stop, the president's quest for a voting majority on the central bank board.

Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman warned that labor market conditions could weaken further and said the central bank should avoid signaling a pause in monetary policy.

A handful of former Fed officials noted that the markets' measured response to a probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell was a result of pushback from Trump allies.

Federal Reserve Gov. Stephen Miran said he doesn't "really buy" the view that a potential indictment of Fed Chair Jerome Powell would affect the central bank's monetary policy.

Panelists diverged sharply on the outlook for 2026 at the Executives' Club of Chicago's Annual Economic Outlook panel, held at a hotel in Chicago's Loop.