SEP Projects One Hike This Year

One rate hike is predicted this year by the summary of Economic Projections, released by the Fed Wednesday, and the fed funds rate target is seen at just over 1.00% at the end of next year.

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Ten of the 17 participants see the appropriate monetary policy at 0.625% at the end of this year and seven see it at 1.125% by the end of 2017, eventually rising to 3% in the long run.

The range for this year runs from three participants calling for no hikes this year (0.375% rate) to one seeing a 1.125% rate at the end of this year.

Next year is more spread out, with two projections of 0.625% (one hike) to one of 2.125%. The mean for 2018 is just under 2%, with 7 participants seeing a 1.875% rate.

GDP projections generally call for growth near 2%, 1.8% this year, down from the June estimate, 2% for the next two years and 1.8% in 2019. Unemployment is seen slightly below 5% and inflation is seen rising near 2% by 2018.


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