Muni traders return to see quiet market, new issue calendar

Municipal bond traders are returning to work after the Fourth of July holiday only to see a $130.4 million new issue calendar, the smallest of the year.

Secondary market
Treasuries were unchanged on Wednesday. The yield on the two-year Treasury was steady from 1.41% on Monday, the 10-year Treasury yield was flat from 2.34% and the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was unchanged from 2.86%.

Top-rated municipal bonds finished weaker on Monday. The yield on the 10-year benchmark muni general obligation rose two basis points to 2.01% from 1.99% on Friday, while the 30-year GO yield increased one basis point to 2.80% from 2.79%, according to the final read of Municipal Market Data's triple-A scale.

On Monday, the 10-year muni to Treasury ratio was calculated at 85.8%, compared with 86.5% on Friday, while the 30-year muni to Treasury ratio stood at 97.8% versus 98.2%, according to MMD.

MSRB: Previous session's activity
The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board reported 14,753 trades on Monday on volume of $4.90 billion.

Volatile ride for muni yields
Since the election of 2016, municipal bonds have been on a roller coaster ride.

On Oct. 21, 2016, just days before the nation elected Donald Trump as president, Municipal Market Data calculated the yield on the 10-year triple-A muni at 1.73%.

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By Nov. 30, 2016, the 10-year muni yield had risen to 2.52%, but had backed off to 2.31% by Dec. 30, and remained in that general range until it slipped to 2.14% on April 28, 2017.

The 10-year yield dropped to 1.90% on May 31 and remained just under 2% at 1.99% on June 30.

Political turbulence in the aftermath of the election as well as geopolitical events such as elections in Europe and technicals like the surging stock market combined with three interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to buffet the Treasury market, taking munis along for the ride.

Primary market
The week’s bond calendar consists of $46.5 million of negotiated deals and $83.9 million of competitive sales.

In the negotiated sector, Citigroup is set to price the biggest deal of the week on Thursday -- Denton, Texas’ $77 million of Series 2017 permanent improvement refunding bonds.

The deal is rated triple-A by Moody’s Investors Service and S&P Global Ratings.

In the competitive arena on Thursday, Stamford, Conn., is selling $30 million of general obligation bonds in two separate sales.

The offerings consist of $25 million of Issue of 2017 Series A GOs and $5 million of Issue of 2017 Series B GOs.

The deals are rated AAA by S&P and Fitch Ratings.

Bond Buyer reports 30-day visible supply
The Bond Buyer's 30-day visible supply calendar increased $805.3 million to $6.71 billion on Wednesday. The total is comprised of $2.58 billion of competitive sales and $4.13 billion of negotiated deals.

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