Muni Market Waiting for Sales to Start Tomorrow

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Municipal traders are eagerly awaiting a big week of deals, as institutional pricings will start to come through on Tuesday, while retail investors will be able to get their feet wet today.

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Secondary Market

Treasuries were weaker on Monday morning, as the yield on the two-year Treasury gained to 0.68% from 0.66% on Friday, as the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 1.50% from 1.46% and the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond increased to 2.23% from 2.19%.

Top-rated municipal bonds finished steady to stronger on Friday, according to traders. The yield on the 10-year benchmark muni general obligation dropped one basis point to 1.40% from 1.41% on Thursday, while the yield on the 30-year muni was steady at 2.12%, according to the final read of Municipal Market Data's triple-A scale.

The 10-year muni to Treasury ratio was calculated at 91.2% on Friday compared to 93.3% on Thursday, while the 30-year muni to Treasury ratio stood at 94.9% versus 95.1%, according to MMD.

Primary Market

Total volume for the week of August 5 is estimated by Ipreo at $11.9 billion, way up from the revised total of $5.7 billion that was sold in the prior week, according to Thomson Reuters data. The calendar consists $8.6 billion of negotiated deals and $3.3 billion of competitive sales.

While there are no large institutional sales scheduled to hit the screens Monday, retail investors will see the last day of a two-day retail order period for New York City general obligation bonds. Goldman, Sachs is running the books on the $855.6 million deal and institutional pricing is expected on Tuesday. The deal is rated Aa2 by Moody's Investors Service and AA by S&P Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings.

The Big Apple will also issue two competitive sales of taxable GO bonds on Tuesday totaling $250 million.

The action will really get started on Tuesday, as the market expects more than 10 deals of at least $100 million price, including three of the five largest deals of the week.

The state of Minnesota will sell five separate competitive sales totaling almost $788 million on Tuesday. The Land of 10,000 Lakes is expected to sell $301.195 million of GO state various purpose refunding bonds, $264.25 million of GO state various purpose bonds, $215 million of GO state trunk highway bonds, and $7.5 million of GO taxable state various purpose bonds. All of the deals are rated Aa1 by Moody's and AA-plus by S&P.

Goldman, Sachs is expected to price the Board of Regents of the University of Texas' $350 million of system revenue financing bonds on Tuesday. The deal is rated triple-A by Moody's, S&P and Fitch.

Siebert Brandford Shank and Co. is slated to price the Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission's $314.275 million of oil franchise tax senior revenue refunding bonds on Tuesday. The deal is expected to consist of $199.185 million of series A of 2016 bonds that are rated Aa3 by Moody's and AA by Fitch, as well as $115.09 million of series B of 2015 bonds that are rated A2 by Moody's and A-plus by Fitch.

Ramirez is scheduled to price the city of San Antonio, Texas's $364 million on Tuesday.

Back to the competitive arena on Tuesday, the Plano Independent School District in Texas is on the docket to sell $257.195 million of unlimited tax school building bonds on Tuesday. The deal is backed by the permanent school fund guarantee program and is rated triple-A by Moody's and S&P.

The Miami-Dade County School District, Fla., is scheduled to competitively sell $200 million of general obligation school bonds. The deal is rated Aa3 by Moody's and A-plus by S&P.

MSRB: Previous Session's Activity

The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board reported 26,873 trades on Friday on volume of $9.284 billion.

Prior Week's Actively Traded Issues

Revenue bonds comprised 51.08% of new issuance in the week ended July 29, up from 49.51% in the previous week, according to Markit. General obligation bonds comprised 38.73% of total issuance, down from 39.24%, while taxable bonds made up 10.19%, down from 11.25%.

Some of the most actively traded issues by type were from Nebraska and California issuers. In the GO bond sector, the Sarpy County School District, Neb., 3s of 2039 were traded 27 times. In the revenue bond sector, the California 4s of 2041 were traded 81 times. And in the taxable bond sector, the California 7.55s of 2039 were traded 25 times.


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