NEW YORK – The California municipal market was firmer Thursday, with particular strength on the long end of the curve.
“We’re seeing some nice gains on the long end,” a trader in Los Angeles said. “Inside of 20 years or so, we’re maybe two or three basis points better, but past 25 years, we’re five, six, maybe seven basis points better. There’s a lot of bargain-hunting on the long end going on.”
The Municipal Market Data triple-A 10-year scale declined two basis points Thursday from its 18-month high to 3.25%, the 20-year scale decreased three basis points from its 21-month high to 4.49%, and the scale for 30-year debt fell seven basis points from its 21-month high to 4.78%.
Thursday’s triple-A muni scale in 10 years was at 93.4% of comparable Treasuries and 30-year munis were at 104.6%, according to MMD. Meanwhile, 30-year tax-exempt triple-A general obligation bonds were at 110.1% of the comparable London Interbank Offered Rate.
The Treasury market showed some gains Thursday. The benchmark 10-year note was quoted recently at 3.46% after opening at 3.53%. The 30-year bond was quoted recently at 4.58%, after opening at 4.59%. The two-year note was quoted recently at 0.66% after opening at 0.67%.
Thursday’s gains follow a 14-basis-point widening of the 30-year AAA MMD scale this week. Through Wednesday, 30-year yields had climbed 99 basis points since Nov. 1.
“The BAB program brought in taxable money – it imported demand from another market into the muni market,” said Alex Roever, an analyst with JPMorgan. “Absent that, there would have been a lot more tax-exempt issuance. So if this program sunsets, then that suggests a similar amount of supply shift into the long-term tax-exempt market. That’s why we’ve seen yields back up.”
Taxable bond sales have accounted for more volume in December than tax-exempt debt thus far, according to Thomson Reuters data. Through Dec. 15, $14.6 billion of taxable debt has been issued, including $11.4 billion of Build America Bonds, compared with $13.6 billion of tax-exempt issuance.
The $28.5 billion of total issuance thus far in December already tops total issuance for February and April and is less than $1 billion behind July and August. BAB issuance this month has already exceeded that of every month in 2010 but March, October, and November.
In economic data released Thursday, initial jobless claims dropped 3,000 to 420,000 for the week ending Dec. 11, matching economist expectations for new filings for unemployment benefits.
Continuing claims, a measure of the number of people already receiving jobless benefits, rose 22,000 to 4.135 million for the week ending Dec. 4, exceeding the 4.05 million median estimate in an earlier Thomson Reuters survey of economists.
November housing starts increased 3.9% to 555,000 as building permits declined 4.0% to 530,000. Economists expected 550,000 housing starts and 560,000 building permits.
October starts were revised upward to 534,000 from 519,000 and building permits were also revised up to 552,000 from the 550,000 level initially reported.
Previous Session's Activity
The most actively traded security in the state yesterday was California 3s of 2011, which traded 110 times at a high of 101.100 and a low of 100.400.
