Finance

"The knee-jerk reaction of the markets to the Fed meeting (and press conference) was to sell stocks and bonds, because [Fed] Chairman Jerome Powell said that an additional rate cut in December wasn't a sure thing," said Northlight Asset Management Chief Investment Officer Chris Zaccarelli.

The softer-than-expected September consumer price index report, released Friday, reinforced confidence in the likelihood of a Fed rate cut at its October meeting and potentially at its December meeting, said Tom Kozlik, managing director and head of public policy and municipal strategy at HilltopSecurities.

Analyst and market strategist Jeff Lipton joins the team to deliver clarity and thoughtful guidance to a market witnessing evolving complexities — connecting policy moves, credit shifts and investment behavior to help our readers navigate what comes next.

Issuance is light this week, with $5.367 billion on tap, and it should be "easily distributed," J.P. Morgan strategists said.

"Investors were not disappointed," said John Kerschner, global head of securitized products and portfolio manager at Janus Henderson. "Inflation came in softer than expected, leading to a tepid bond market rally" and ensuring a rate cut at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

The northern California school district has been struggling for years and on several occasions abandoned plans to consolidate schools, which rating agencies say might have shored up finances.

Jamie Doffermyre  has worked in munis at Truist Securities, Citi and Merrill Lynch.

The upgrade is driven by realized and expected improvement in the state's financial metrics, the rating agency said.

"We're not going to be having huge reinvestment months over the next few months, not until the beginning of the year. So we need this flow [of deals] to keep up with demand, and we expect that to continue," said Jennifer Johnston, director of municipal bonds research at Franklin Templeton.

North Carolina's triple-A ratings were affirmed ahead of plans to sell up to $506 million in general obligation and limited obligation bonds.

The tax-exempt market is expected to be "biased higher" in the coming weeks and months as the expected heavy pace of issuance this month will not be as "oppressive" as feared, said Pat Luby, head of municipal strategy at CreditSights.

Demand may strengthen as "investors anticipate the Federal Reserve's likely path of rate cuts, which would drive yields even lower," said Tom Kozlik, managing director and head of public policy and municipal strategy at HilltopSecurities.

"The story remains the same: solid demand is more than enough to take down the sizable new issue supply," said Daryl Clements, a portfolio manager at AllianceBernstein.

Its triple-A bonds have recovered after cheapening earlier this year under a pressure campaign from the Trump administration.

The new-issue calendar is at $15.637 billion and boasts four mega deals.

Earlier Thursday, the market was "chugging along, doing OK, just kind of nothing, in between slight strength to modest upticks, but the narrative changed when that bank news came out. The market really ran pretty quickly," said Chris Brigati, managing director and CIO at SWBC.

The attackers did not steal any data, but the firm had to rebuild its servers to get back into operation, said Albert Rodriguez, a manager at ImageMaster.

Federal Reserve Gov. Stephen Miran said Thursday that the central bank's forays into examining climate change and racial justice under the prior administration politicized the Fed. He also argued that Fed officials should limit their comments on economic policies such as tariffs.