Jessica Lerner

Demand for munis looks "fairly stable" for now, particularly after the 10- to 25-basis-point rally ended in the 30 days before the Federal Reserve cut rates last week, Municipal Market Analytics, Inc. said, noting the "bull-steepening adjustment" looks like the 30-day move before the beginning of the Fed's last cutting cycle, at the end of July 2019.

This collaboration allows users with a DPC Data subscription to access content directly within BondWave's Effi, providing Effi users with more information for all municipal bond positions in their portfolio.

Several factors make the current market "an attractive entry point" into the muni market, AllianceBernstein strategists said. For one, municipal valuations are cheap to fair value relative to U.S. Treasuries, partially due to the surge of supply in 2024.

"Active ETFs are becoming an integral part of investor portfolios around the world, with financial advisors increasingly incorporating them into their models-based practice," a BlackRock spokesperson said.

While the municipal market barely budged following the Fed's decision to cut rates 50 basis points, Thursday saw muni yields rise up to two basis points, depending on the scale, but still lagged the weakness in USTs. LSEG Lipper reported $716 million of inflows into municipal bond mutual funds.

The product is designed to give SOLVE's customers visibility into "next-trade" pricing data for more than 900,000 munis.

For municipals, Wednesday "marks a crucial step forward, perfectly aligned with the current risk landscape," said James Pruskowski, chief investment officer for 16Rock Asset Management.

Fed rate cuts "should lead to positive price action for both taxable and tax-exempt bonds, and current nominal yields remain well above where they were when the Fed was more dovish, implying generous room to rally from here," said Matt Fabian, a partner at Municipal Market Analytics, Inc.

"Given increasing student demand for charter schools, we anticipate continued strong supply issued into the municipal market," according to Nuveen.

Despite the underperformance to USTs, munis saw positive momentum during the first two weeks of September with the asset class returning 0.68% so far this month and 1.99% year-to-date.

Household ownership of individual bonds was the largest category of muni ownership at 44.6%, mutual funds at 19.2%, exchange-traded funds at 3.1% and U.S. banks at 12.4%. While not detailed in the Federal Reserve data, SMAs may hold up to $1.6 trillion currently.

Municipal bond mutual funds saw inflows as investors added $1.258 billion to funds — the second-largest inflow figure year-to-date after $1.413 billion of inflows for the week ending Jan. 31.

The August consumer price index showed inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's target level and makes a 50-basis-point rate cut next week unlikely, economists said. Further, many expect the market will be disappointed going forward, as future cuts will likely be shallower than expected.

Issuance as of Wednesday is at $345.327 billion, a 32.7% increase over 2023. The Bond Buyer 30-day visible calendar on Monday was at $20.02 billion, the largest in nearly four years.

Municipals lagged the UST moves again, cheapening ratios and creating a valuable entry point for investors looking for compelling taxable equivalent yields, particularly 10-years and out.

"Despite the underperformance of tax-exempt yields last week, we could see some more pressure on both spreads and ratios due to the heavy supply calendar," said Vikram Rai, head of municipal markets strategy at Wells Fargo.

Ciraolo, who spent more than 17 years at Goldman Sachs, has been brought on as a senior vice president in corporate and municipal short-term securities to help expand SWS' taxable muni franchise through commercial paper trading.

Municipal bond mutual funds saw inflows as investors added $956 million to funds after $1.047 billion of inflows the week prior, according to LSEG Lipper.

Most weeks in September are expected to see around $10 billion of issuance, which could easily grow if a prepaid gas deal is thrown into the mix, said Jason Appleson, head of municipal bonds at PGIM Fixed Income. Bond Buyer 30-day visible supply sits at $16.46 billion.

Summer redemption season has ended, and "without the huge amounts of maturing and called bond principal flowing back to investors, demand in the last months of the year will be more reliant on new money coming into the market than it was in June, July and August," said Pat Luby, head of municipal strategy at CreditSights.