Why stock volatility hasn’t changed Dudley’s outlook

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley said recent stock-market declines weren’t that big and don’t yet change his outlook for the U.S. economy.

“This wasn’t that big a bump in the equity market,” Dudley said at a moderated question-and-answer session in New York on Wednesday. “The stock market had a remarkable rise over a very long time with extremely low volatility,” he said, adding: “My outlook hasn’t changed just because the stock market’s a little bit lower than it was a few days ago. It’s still up sharply from where it was a year ago.”

Former Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley
William C. Dudley, president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, listens during a Senate Banking Subcommittee hearing in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Friday, Nov. 21, 2014. Dudley said in testimony he vowed to improve bank supervision and regulation, saying he's aware of the risk of becoming too cozy with large financial firms. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg *** Local Caption *** William Dudley
Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

Dudley, 65, spoke during a sensitive time for global equity markets, after the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly 5% on Monday before bouncing back more than 2% the next day.

“Having a bump up like this has virtually no consequence on my view of the economic outlook,” he said.

While U.S. central bankers didn’t come out with a formal statement during the turmoil, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard played it down during a public event on Tuesday, calling the decline the “most predicted selloff of all time.”

The New York Fed president serves as vice chairman on the interest-rate setting Federal Open Market Committee and has a permanent vote on monetary policy. Dudley has said he plans to retire in mid-2018.

Bloomberg News
Monetary policy William Dudley Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Bank of New York FOMC
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