Secondary bond market

A key demand component in the market again flexed its muscles with ICI reporting another round of $2 billion-plus fund inflows.

Municipals outperformed U.S. Treasuries for a third sessions moving the 10-year municipal to UST ratio below 60%.

Most participants expect better performance for munis in the near-term. Longer-term, a lot depends on rates, COVID and other outside factors, such as infrastructure.

While municipals hit the pause button Friday, the movement in yields in the first week of July marked the largest one-week decline in 2021.

Fund inflows are a demand component unlikely to slow during the heavy reinvestment season, keeping the yield environment squarely in issuers' favor.

More of the same from the FOMC did little to move UST or munis. ICI reported the 17th consecutive week of inflows at $1.98 billion. July is looking good for municipal issuers.

U.S. Treasury 10- and 30-year yields hit February lows. Large blocks of high-grades in secondary trading led triple-A benchmarks to lower yields by two to four basis points across the curve.

With better-than-expected payrolls, economists still caution full recovery is a ways away. Muni participants are closely following how the Fed's action — or inaction — will affect the municipal market going forward.

The broader market awaits Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report, but Thursday brought some helpful labor news — unemployment claims dropped to the lowest since before the pandemic-caused economic shutdowns and layoffs plunged in June.

Gilt-edged munis fell as much as two basis points Wednesday as the month ended and the first half stats were put into the record books.