Monetary policy

Analysts look at whether the FOMC will bring the last rate hike in the cycle, whether recession is coming, and whether the Fed is making a policy mistake.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard, who called for aggressive interest-rate hikes to fight the recent inflation surge, resigned after 15 years in the position to become dean of a university business school.

The Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates a bit further to rein in an inflation rate that's too high, monetary expert John Taylor said.

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan said more interest-rate increases will likely be needed to spur meaningful disinflation and bring price-growth rates back to the central bank's target.

Federal Reserve officials were less united at their June meeting than their unanimous decision suggested, as some favored interest-rate increases but went along with the move to leave policy unchanged.

After holding at its last meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee may decide to raise rates again in July.

Powell is set to appear on Capitol Hill this week for his semi-annual monetary policy testimony, the first time the Fed chief will answer questions from Congress in public since early March.

In a speech, the Federal Reserve Board governor said tighter monetary policy is not to blame for the volatility seen in the banking system this spring.

Analysts agree with the market that the Federal Open Market Committee will hold rates in a range of 5% to 5.25%, but guidance will suggest a future hike.

"If the banking stresses start to bring inflation down for us, then maybe we're getting closer to being done. I just don't know right now," said Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari.