Monetary policy

The yield curve could invert later this year, but unless it's prolonged, it may not signal a recession.

The yield curve and other market signals give better clues about the economy in the current environment.

As central banks the world over find their place in the monetary policy tightening cycle, the one at the helm is the most at risk of falling behind on interest-rate increases.

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said the case for raising interest rates is “pretty compelling” given the economy’s strength.

At the moment, gradual rate hikes remain appropriate, given no signs that inflation will accelerate beyond 2%, despite broad risk factors.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said the Fed should heed the signals from the bond market.

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Esther George favors two additional interest rate increases this year.

U.S. central bankers are ready to raise interest rates again so long as the economy stays on track, according to a record of the Federal Reserve's most recent policy meeting.

The Federal Open Market Committee will have to raise the fed funds target rate three or four times to hit neutral rate.

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said he would not vote for a hike that would cause the Treasury yield curve to invert.