Midwest Growth Picked Up in Oct.: Chicago Fed

NEW YORK – The Midwest Economy Index improved to negative 0.33 in October from negative 0.37 in September, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, as the index rose for the first time since April.

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The relative MEI posted a negative 0.29 reading in October, up from a negative 0.36 reading in September.

Manufacturing contributed positive 0.20 to the index in October, after a positive 0.23 gain in September, while contributing positive 0.43 to the relative MEI, down from positive 0.47 in September.

Construction and mining contributed negative 0.18 in October, after negative 0.17 in September to MEI, and for relative MEI the sector subtracted 0.07 after subtracting 0.03 in September.

The service sector subtracted 0.18 from MEI in October after contributing negative 0.23 in September, while contributing negative 0.49 to relative MEI in October after negative 0.54 in September.

Consumer spending subtracted 0.16 from MEI in October, up from negative 0.20 in September, while contributing negative 0.17 to relative MEI in October after negative 0.25 in September.

The index is a weighted average of 128 state and regional indicators encompassing the five states in the Seventh Federal Reserve District (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, and Wisconsin). The index measures growth in nonfarm business activity.

A zero value for the MEI indicates that the Midwest economy is expanding at its historical trend rate of growth; negative values are associated with below-trend growth while positive values indicate above-trend growth. A zero value for the relative MEI indicates that the Midwest economy is growing at a rate historically consistent with the growth of the national economy; positive values indicate above-average relative growth; and negative values indicate below-average relative growth.


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