Dudley says Puerto Rico shouldn't be seduced by economic bounce

Puerto Rico shouldn’t misinterpret the economic boost from reconstruction following hurricanes that hit it hard last year as a sign of underlying strength, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley said.

William Dudley
William C. Dudley, president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, arrives to a Senate Banking Subcommittee hearing in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Friday, Nov. 21, 2014. Dudley said in testimony he vowed to improve bank supervision and regulation, saying he's aware of the risk of becoming too cozy with large financial firms. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg *** Local Caption *** William Dudley
Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

“It’s really important not to be seduced by that strong recovery in the immediate aftermath of the disaster,” Dudley said Wednesday while answering questions after a presentation in San Juan. Dudley was there to meet with local leaders because Puerto Rico is part of the New York Fed’s district.

“We would expect there to be a bounce in 2018 as the construction activity gets underway in earnest” before the economic growth slows again in 2019 or 2020, Dudley said. It’s “important not to misinterpret what it means, because a lot still needs to be done on the fiscal side and the long-term economic development side.”

As part of the trip, Dudley and his team took a tour through densely populated lower-income neighborhoods in San Juan that were hit hard by the storms.

One striking aspect of the tour was the prevalence of “blue roofs” — temporary roofs overlaid with blue tarps that were installed to replace those that were blown away by the hurricanes, Dudley said while speaking with reporters after the presentation, adding that there is “lots of construction that needs to take place before the next storm season.” The official start of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season is June 1.

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