Munis steady ahead of deal deluge

Municipal bonds were little changed at mid-session as the market eyes a chunky new issue calendar, topped up by the return of Illinois with a multi-billion dollar bond offering that aims to pay off some of the state’s overdue bills.

Barclays Capital is expected to price the state’s $4.5 billion Series of November 2017D general obligation bonds on Wednesday.

The deal is rated Baa3 by Moody’s Investors Service, BBB-minus by S&P Global Ratings and BBB by Fitch Ratings. Moody’s and Fitch have negative outlooks on the state’s credit while S&P maintains a stable outlook.

A premarketing scale that was circulating late last week showed yields ranging from 115 basis points above the interpolated MMD scale for the 2020 maturity to 170 basis points above the scale for the 2028 maturity, with the highest yields in the 2024-2027 maturities, which came in at 175 basis points above the scale.

Secondary market
The yield on the 10-year benchmark muni general obligation was flat from 1.95% on Friday, while the 30-year GO yield was unchanged from 2.74%, according to a read of Municipal Market Data's triple-A scale.

U.S. Treasuries strengthened on Monday. The yield on the two-year Treasury fell to 1.55% from 1.58%, the 10-year Treasury yield dipped to 2.37% from 2.38% and yield on the 30-year Treasury bond decreased to 2.88% from 2.89%.

On Friday, the 10-year muni-to-Treasury ratio was calculated at 81.9% compared with 82.7% on Thursday, while the 30-year muni-to-Treasury ratio stood at 94.7% versus 95.1%, according to MMD.

AP-MBIS 10-year muni at 2.282%, 30-year at 2.846%
The Associated Press-MBIS 10-year municipal benchmark 5% general obligation gained to 2.282% at midday, compared to the final read of 2.271% on Friday, according to Municipal Bond Information Services, a national consortium of municipal interdealer brokers. The AP-MBIS 30-year benchmark muni increased to 2.846% versus 2.832% on Friday.

The AP-MBIS benchmark index is a yield curve built on market data aggregated from MBIS member firms and is updated hourly on the Bond Buyer Data Workstation.

MSRB: Previous session's activity
The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board reported 30,481 trades on Friday on volume of $7.65 billion.

Prior week's actively traded issues
Revenue bonds comprised 56.64% of new issuance in the week ended Oct. 20, down from 56.97% in the previous week, according to Markit. General obligation bonds made up 37.56% of total issuance, up from 37.02%, while taxable bonds accounted for 5.80%, down from 6.01%.

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Some of the most actively traded bonds by type were from California and New York issuers.

In the GO bond sector, the San Diego Unified School District 4s of 2047 were traded 97 times. In the revenue bond sector, the New York City Transitional Finance Authority 4s of 2042 were traded 91 times. And in the taxable bond sector, the California 2.5s of 2022 were traded 19 times.

Previous week's top underwriters
The top municipal bond underwriters of last week included Bank of America Merrill Lynch, JPMorgan Securities, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, according to Thomson Reuters data.

In the week of Oct. 15 to Oct. 21, BAML underwrote $1.81 billion, JPMorgan $1.72 billion, Citi $1.7 billion, Goldman $1.11 billion, and Morgan Stanley $880.1 million.

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Primary market
This week’s new issue calendar totals $10 billion and is composed of $8.3 billion of negotiated deals and $1.7 billion of competitive sales.

Action is set to get underway on Tuesday as Goldman Sachs gets set to price Gainesville, Fla.’s $415.87 million of Series 2017A utility system revenue bonds.

The deal is rated Aa3 by Moody’s and AA-minus by S&P and Fitch.

JPMorgan Securities is expected to price the Missouri Health and Educational Facilities Authority’s $291.7 million of Series 2017C health facilities revenue bonds for Mercy Health on Tuesday.

The deal is rated Aa3 by Moody’s and AA-minus by S&P.

Jefferies is expected to price Wisconsin’s $272.6 million of GO refunding bonds of 2017, Series 2 on Tuesday.

The deal is rated Aa1 by Moody’s, AA by S&P, and AA-plus by Fitch and Kroll Bond Ratings Agency.

Morgan Stanley is set on Tuesday to price the Philadelphia Hospitals and Higher Education Facilities Authority’s $236.11 million of hospital revenue bonds for the Temple University Health System Obligated Group.

The deal is rated Ba1 by Moody’s, BBB-minus by S&P and BB-plus by Fitch.

Raymond James & Associates is expected to price the city and county of San Francisco’s Community Facilities District No. 2014-1 $1200.83 million of Series 2017A special tax bonds and Series 2017B taxable green bonds for the Transbay Transit Center.

The deal is rated AA-plus by Fitch.

Bond Buyer reports 30-day visible supply
The Bond Buyer's 30-day visible supply calendar increased $885.4 million to $14.15 billion on Monday. The total is comprised of $4.73 billion of competitive sales and $9.43 billion of negotiated deals.

Data appearing in this article from Municipal Bond Information Services, including the AP-MBIS municipal bond index, is available on the Bond Buyer Data Workstation. Click here for a brief tour of the Workstation, or contact Vanessa Kim at 212-803-8474 for more information.

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Primary bond market Secondary bond market State of Illinois State of Wisconsin New York City Transitional Finance Authority State of California
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